Sport Picks

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Mwadui vs Namungo

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Nzigamasabo S.

AI Match Summary

Namungo in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Namungo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Mwadui
15%
Draws
85%
Namungo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Namungo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Mwadui haven't matched Namungo's recent run of results.
  • Namungo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Mwadui Clean Sheet 26%
Namungo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mwadui Namungo
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 4 12
Draws 4 14
Losses 22 14
Goals Scored 0.7 0.82
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.02
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mwadui vs Namungo
0:1
Oct 3, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Namungo vs Mwadui
0:1
Feb 15, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mwadui vs Namungo
1:1
Sep 21, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Namungo vs Mwadui
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mwadui Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Namungo Compare

Top Goalscorer Nzigamasabo S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mwadui 10 / 100
Namungo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mwadui Namungo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Namungo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Namungo has conceded goals in 63% of their last 40 outings.

Difficult form: Namungo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Mwadui's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Namungo
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mwadui

(Home)
18 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 0
Mwadui
15 Jul
Coastal Union
5 : 0
Mwadui
20 Jun
Young Africans
3 : 2
Mwadui
17 Jun
Mwadui
1 : 3
Mtibwa Sugar
18 May
Mwadui
0 : 1
Tanzania Prisons
Page 1 of 6

Namungo

(Away)
01 Sept
Singida Black Stars
3 : 2
Namungo
29 Aug
JKT Tanzania
2 : 1
Namungo
25 Aug
Namungo
1 : 0
Fountain Gate
18 Aug
Namungo
1 : 0
Geita Gold
15 Aug
Namungo
1 : 3
Young Africans
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Simba 34 26 5 3 78:14 83
2 Young Africans 34 21 11 2 52:21 74
3 Azam 34 19 11 4 50:22 68
4 Biashara Mara United 34 13 11 10 28:32 50
5 Kinondoni MC 34 13 9 12 39:27 48
6 Polisi Tanzania 34 10 15 9 29:27 45
7 Tanzania Prisons 34 10 14 10 25:25 44
8 Dodoma Jiji 34 11 11 12 28:31 44
9 Namungo 34 10 13 11 24:31 43
10 Mbeya City 34 10 12 12 30:33 42
11 Ruvu Shooting 34 11 8 15 34:38 41
12 Kagera Sugar 34 10 10 14 34:38 40
13 Coastal Union 34 10 10 14 29:46 40
14 Mtibwa Sugar 34 10 9 15 21:31 39
15 JKT Tanzania 34 11 6 17 34:47 39
16 Gwambina 34 8 11 15 29:37 35
17 Singida Black Stars 34 9 8 17 22:41 35
18 Mwadui 34 5 4 25 24:69 19
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2021/2022 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2021/2022 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 (Relegation)