Sport Picks
Match Events
16'
16'
Daluwesh S.
85'
85'
Chubi S.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Polisi Tanzania
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Polisi Tanzania lately — more wins on the board than Mwadui.
- Polisi Tanzania are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Mwadui Clean Sheet 22%
Polisi Tanzania Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mwadui | Polisi Tanzania |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 37 |
| Wins | 4 | 13 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 22 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.7 | 1.19 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.17 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 18, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Polisi Tanzania vs Mwadui
1:0
Dec 18, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mwadui vs Polisi Tanzania
1:1
Mar 4, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mwadui vs Polisi Tanzania
2:1
Oct 23, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Polisi Tanzania vs Mwadui
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mwadui Compare
Top Goalscorer Chubi S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58
Polisi Tanzania Compare
Top Goalscorer Daluwesh S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mwadui 10 / 100
Polisi Tanzania 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mwadui Polisi Tanzania
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Polisi Tanzania Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Polisi Tanzania has conceded goals in 68% of their last 37 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.
Mwadui scored in 50% of their last 30 games.
Away concern: Polisi Tanzania has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Polisi Tanzania
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Mwadui
(Home) 18 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 0 Mwadui
15 Jul
Coastal Union
5 : 0 Mwadui
20 Jun
Young Africans
3 : 2 Mwadui
17 Jun
Mwadui
1 : 3 Mtibwa Sugar
18 May
Mwadui
0 : 1 Tanzania Prisons
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17 Jun
Mwadui
1 : 3 Mtibwa Sugar
18 May
Mwadui
0 : 1 Tanzania Prisons
11 May
Mwadui
0 : 3 Kagera Sugar
18 Apr
Mwadui
0 : 1 Simba
06 Mar
Mwadui
0 : 0 Azam
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Polisi Tanzania
(Away) 12 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0 Mbeya City
06 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 2 Coastal Union
29 Aug
Singida Black Stars
4 : 2 Polisi Tanzania
25 Aug
Dodoma Jiji
0 : 1 Polisi Tanzania
20 Aug
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0 JKT Tanzania
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29 Aug
Singida Black Stars
4 : 2 Polisi Tanzania
25 Aug
Dodoma Jiji
0 : 1 Polisi Tanzania
16 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
1 : 0 Polisi Tanzania
28 Jun
Mbeya Kwanza
0 : 4 Polisi Tanzania
09 Jun
Azam
8 : 0 Polisi Tanzania
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 78:14 | 83 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 52:21 | 74 |
| 3 | Azam | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 50:22 | 68 |
| 4 | Biashara Mara United | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 28:32 | 50 |
| 5 | Kinondoni MC | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 39:27 | 48 |
| 6 | Polisi Tanzania | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 29:27 | 45 |
| 7 | Tanzania Prisons | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 25:25 | 44 |
| 8 | Dodoma Jiji | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28:31 | 44 |
| 9 | Namungo | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 24:31 | 43 |
| 10 | Mbeya City | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 30:33 | 42 |
| 11 | Ruvu Shooting | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 34:38 | 41 |
| 12 | Kagera Sugar | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 34:38 | 40 |
| 13 | Coastal Union | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 29:46 | 40 |
| 14 | Mtibwa Sugar | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 21:31 | 39 |
| 15 | JKT Tanzania | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 34:47 | 39 |
| 16 | Gwambina | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 29:37 | 35 |
| 17 | Singida Black Stars | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 22:41 | 35 |
| 18 | Mwadui | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 24:69 | 19 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2021/2022 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2021/2022 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 (Relegation)
