Sport Picks
Match Events
67'
67'
Bocco J.
Assist: Onyango J.
AI Match Summary
The Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 game between Mwadui and Simba finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Simba.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Simba
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Simba come out ahead of Mwadui on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Simba's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Simba have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Mwadui Clean Sheet 16%
Simba Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mwadui | Simba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 25 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 22 | 1 |
| Goals Scored | 0.7 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.17 | 0.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.67 | 1.49 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mwadui vs Simba
0:1
Oct 31, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs Mwadui
5:0
Jun 20, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs Mwadui
3:0
Oct 30, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mwadui vs Simba
1:0
Feb 7, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs Mwadui
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mwadui Compare
Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.34
Simba Compare
Top Goalscorer Bocco J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mwadui 10 / 100
Simba 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mwadui Simba
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Simba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Mwadui scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Simba conceded in 30% of 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Simba
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.13
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Mwadui
(Home) 18 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 0 Mwadui
15 Jul
Coastal Union
5 : 0 Mwadui
20 Jun
Young Africans
3 : 2 Mwadui
17 Jun
Mwadui
1 : 3 Mtibwa Sugar
18 May
Mwadui
0 : 1 Tanzania Prisons
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17 Jun
Mwadui
1 : 3 Mtibwa Sugar
18 May
Mwadui
0 : 1 Tanzania Prisons
11 May
Mwadui
0 : 3 Kagera Sugar
18 Apr
Mwadui
0 : 1 Simba
06 Mar
Mwadui
0 : 0 Azam
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Simba
(Away) 06 Sept
Mighty Wanderers FC
0 : 1 Simba
31 Aug
Simba
2 : 0 Geita Gold
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0 Coastal Union
22 Aug
Singida Black Stars
1 : 2 Simba
19 Aug
Pamba
1 : 2 Simba
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06 Sept
Mighty Wanderers FC
0 : 1 Simba
22 Aug
Singida Black Stars
1 : 2 Simba
19 Aug
Pamba
1 : 2 Simba
16 Aug
Kagera Sugar
0 : 2 Simba
31 Jul
Singida Black Stars
1 : 2 Simba
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 78:14 | 83 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 52:21 | 74 |
| 3 | Azam | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 50:22 | 68 |
| 4 | Biashara Mara United | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 28:32 | 50 |
| 5 | Kinondoni MC | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 39:27 | 48 |
| 6 | Polisi Tanzania | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 29:27 | 45 |
| 7 | Tanzania Prisons | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 25:25 | 44 |
| 8 | Dodoma Jiji | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28:31 | 44 |
| 9 | Namungo | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 24:31 | 43 |
| 10 | Mbeya City | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 30:33 | 42 |
| 11 | Ruvu Shooting | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 34:38 | 41 |
| 12 | Kagera Sugar | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 34:38 | 40 |
| 13 | Coastal Union | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 29:46 | 40 |
| 14 | Mtibwa Sugar | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 21:31 | 39 |
| 15 | JKT Tanzania | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 34:47 | 39 |
| 16 | Gwambina | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 29:37 | 35 |
| 17 | Singida Black Stars | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 22:41 | 35 |
| 18 | Mwadui | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 24:69 | 19 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2021/2022 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2021/2022 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 (Relegation)
