Sport Picks
Mwatate United vs Migori - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Kenya
Super League 
AI Match Summary
Mwatate United in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mwatate United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Migori
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Migori lately — more wins on the board than Mwatate United.
- Migori are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Mwatate United Clean Sheet 17%
Migori Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mwatate United | Migori |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 23 |
| Wins | 5 | 16 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 22 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 0.67 | 1.65 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 0.65 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.32 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 28, 2026 Super League
Mwatate United vs Migori
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Super League
Migori vs Mwatate United
1:0
May 11, 2024 Super League
Mwatate United vs Migori
0:0
Dec 9, 2023 Super League
Migori vs Mwatate United
0:0
May 15, 2023 Super League
Mwatate United vs Migori
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mwatate United 10 / 100
Migori 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mwatate United Migori
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Migori Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mwatate United found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (30 games).
Migori let in goals in 52% of their last 23 matches.
These sides typically produce 0.60 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Mwatate United VS Migori
0.14 Goals Scored 0.88
1.86 Goals Conceded 0.5
86% Over 1.5 38%
14% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Mwatate United
(Home) 13 Jun
Equity Bank
2 : 0 Mwatate United
07 Jun
Mwatate United
0 : 3 3K FC
01 Jun
MCF
2 : 0 Mwatate United
28 May
Mwatate United
0 : 2 Naivas FC
24 May
Mwatate United
0 : 1 Mombasa United
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07 Jun
Mwatate United
0 : 3 3K FC
28 May
Mwatate United
0 : 2 Naivas FC
24 May
Mwatate United
0 : 1 Mombasa United
10 May
Mwatate United
1 : 1 Kibera
18 Apr
Mwatate United
3 : 1 Vihiga United
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Migori
(Away) 13 Jun
3K FC
1 : 1 Migori
07 Jun
Migori
2 : 1 Equity Bank
01 Jun
Kisumu All-Stars
0 : 1 Migori
27 May
Migori
2 : 1 MCF
23 May
Migori
1 : 0 Kibera
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13 Jun
3K FC
1 : 1 Migori
01 Jun
Kisumu All-Stars
0 : 1 Migori
17 May
Fortune Sacco
1 : 0 Migori
03 May
Mombasa United
0 : 0 Migori
18 Apr
Kabati
1 : 2 Migori
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Migori | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 57:29 | 81 |
| 2 | 3K FC | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 62:26 | 77 |
| 3 | Mombasa United | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 51:32 | 76 |
| 4 | Equity Bank | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 56:28 | 74 |
| 5 | MOFA | 38 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 51:30 | 64 |
| 6 | Fortune Sacco | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 61:41 | 63 |
| 7 | Naivas FC | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 47:30 | 61 |
| 8 | Talanta FC | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 53:41 | 57 |
| 9 | Kibera | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 32:33 | 53 |
| 10 | Soy United | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 31:27 | 52 |
| 11 | Nzoia Sugar | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:36 | 50 |
| 12 | Gucha Stars | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 35:41 | 44 |
| 13 | Luanda Villa | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 30:51 | 43 |
| 14 | Kabati | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 32:52 | 39 |
| 15 | Kisumu All-Stars | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 23:47 | 39 |
| 16 | Nairobi City Stars | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 32:44 | 39 |
| 17 | Darajani Gogo | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 27:48 | 38 |
| 18 | MCF | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 24:42 | 34 |
| 19 | Vihiga United | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29:55 | 30 |
| 20 | Mwatate United | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 27:64 | 25 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
