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Mwatate United vs Vihiga United

Kenya Kenya

Super League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mwatate United in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mwatate United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Mwatate United
6%
Draws
90%
Vihiga United
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Vihiga United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vihiga United lately — more wins on the board than Mwatate United.
  • Vihiga United are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Mwatate United Clean Sheet 20%
Vihiga United Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mwatate United Vihiga United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 8
Draws 3 5
Losses 22 17
Goals Scored 0.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Super League
Mwatate United vs Vihiga United
3:1
Jan 11, 2026 Super League
Vihiga United vs Mwatate United
1:2
Apr 20, 2024 Super League
Vihiga United vs Mwatate United
0:0
Jan 20, 2024 Super League
Mwatate United vs Vihiga United
0:0
Jul 2, 2023 Super League
Vihiga United vs Mwatate United
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mwatate United 10 / 100
Vihiga United 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mwatate United Vihiga United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIH Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vihiga United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Vihiga United's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Mwatate United's goal record stands at 40% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Mwatate United VS Vihiga United
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mwatate United

(Home)
13 Jun
Equity Bank
2 : 0
Mwatate United
07 Jun
Mwatate United
0 : 3
3K FC
01 Jun
MCF
2 : 0
Mwatate United
28 May
Mwatate United
0 : 2
Naivas FC
24 May
Mwatate United
0 : 1
Mombasa United
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Vihiga United

(Away)
13 Jun
Kisumu All-Stars
1 : 0
Vihiga United
07 Jun
Vihiga United
1 : 1
Luanda Villa
01 Jun
Naivas FC
2 : 0
Vihiga United
27 May
Vihiga United
1 : 0
Gucha Stars
23 May
Darajani Gogo
1 : 0
Vihiga United
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Migori38256757:2981
23K FC38238762:2677
3Mombasa United382441051:3276
4Equity Bank382111656:2874
5MOFA381616651:3064
6Fortune Sacco381891161:4163
7Naivas FC3817101147:3061
8Talanta FC381691353:4157
9Kibera381581532:3353
10Soy United3814101431:2752
11Nzoia Sugar3812141237:3650
12Gucha Stars381281835:4144
13Luanda Villa381271930:5143
14Kabati381091932:5239
15Kisumu All-Stars381091923:4739
16Nairobi City Stars389121732:4439
17Darajani Gogo381082027:4838
18MCF389101924:4234
19Vihiga United38992029:5530
20Mwatate United38672527:6425
Promotion - Premier League 2026/2027 (Main)