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Myanmar U23 vs Philippines U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia Asia

Southeast Asian Games 2021
Myanmar U23 Logo

Myanmar U23

3 - 2
FT
Philippines U23 Logo

Philippines U23

Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Win N. T.
34' Event
Bedic J.
38' Event
Bedic J.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Myanmar U23 in this Southeast Asian Games 2021 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Myanmar U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Myanmar U23
30%
Draws
52%
Philippines U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Philippines U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Myanmar U23 average 1.5 goals a game right now, well clear of Philippines U23's 1.23.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Philippines U23 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Myanmar U23 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Myanmar U23 Clean Sheet 12%
Philippines U23 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Myanmar U23 Philippines U23
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 10 10
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.5 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2022 Southeast Asian Games
Myanmar U23 vs Philippines U23
3:2
Nov 27, 2019 Southeast Asian Games
Myanmar U23 vs Philippines U23
2:1
Jun 7, 2015 Southeast Asian Games
Philippines U23 vs Myanmar U23
1:5
Nov 13, 2011 Southeast Asian Games
Philippines U23 vs Myanmar U23
0:5
Jul 18, 2011 Friendly International
Philippines U23 vs Myanmar U23
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Myanmar U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Win N. T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aung Lwin Moe
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Philippines U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bedic J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Myanmar U23 14 / 100
Philippines U23 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Myanmar U23 Philippines U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Philippines U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Myanmar U23 scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Philippines U23 has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Myanmar U23 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Myanmar U23 VS Philippines U23
0.88 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Myanmar U23

(Home)
09 Sept
Myanmar U23
1 : 2
Afghanistan U23
06 Sept
Myanmar U23
1 : 2
Japan U23
03 Sept
Kuwait U23
0 : 0
Myanmar U23
22 Jul
Thailand U23
0 : 0
Myanmar U23
16 Jul
Myanmar U23
4 : 4
Timor-Leste U23
Page 1 of 6

Philippines U23

(Away)
22 Sept
Philippines U23
2 : 1
Kuwait U23
18 Sept
Philippines U23
0 : 2
Vietnam U23
15 Sept
Uzbekistan U23
5 : 1
Philippines U23
09 Sept
Philippines U23
4 : 0
Nepal U23
06 Sept
Philippines U23
1 : 0
Tajikistan U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U23 4 3 1 0 6:0 10
2 Indonesia U23 4 3 0 1 11:5 9
3 Myanmar U23 4 2 0 2 7:8 6
4 Philippines U23 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
5 Timor-Leste U23 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - Southeast Asian Games 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand U23 4 3 0 1 12:2 9
2 Malaysia U23 4 2 2 0 9:6 8
3 Singapore U23 4 1 2 1 5:9 5
4 Cambodia U23 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
5 Laos U23 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
Promotion - Southeast Asian Games 2021 (Play Offs)