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Myanmar vs Laos

Asia Asia

ASEAN Championship 2024 Thuwunna Stadium, Yangon
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Sub
Mann Aung Kaung In: Win N. T.
Out: Mann Aung Kaung
24'
Sub
Soe Thet Hein In: Naing Oakkar
Out: Soe Thet Hein
32' Event
Aung Lwin Moe
Assist: Win N. T.

AI Match Summary

Myanmar in this ASEAN Championship 2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Myanmar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Myanmar
15%
Draws
28%
Laos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Myanmar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Laos haven't matched Myanmar's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Myanmar's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Myanmar have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Myanmar Clean Sheet 14%
Laos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Myanmar Laos
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 21
Goals Scored 1.55 0.83
Goals Conceded 2.42 2.8
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 4, 2026 ASEAN Championship
Myanmar vs Laos
7:2
Dec 18, 2024 ASEAN Championship
Myanmar vs Laos
3:2
Dec 30, 2022 ASEAN Championship
Myanmar vs Laos
2:2
Nov 16, 2018 ASEAN Championship
Laos vs Myanmar
1:3
Oct 13, 2015 World Championship
Myanmar vs Laos
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Myanmar Compare

Top Goalscorer Win N. T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Aung Lwin Moe
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Laos Compare

Top Goalscorer Souvanny K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wenpaserth C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Myanmar 84 / 100
Laos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Myanmar Laos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Myanmar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Laos conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.20 goals.

Myanmar scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Laos's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Myanmar VS Laos
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
2.63 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Myanmar

(Home)
08 Aug
Thailand
2 : 0
Myanmar
04 Aug
Myanmar
7 : 2
Laos
28 Jul
Philippines
1 : 4
Myanmar
25 Jul
Myanmar
1 : 2
Malaysia
18 Jul
Vietnam
4 : 0
Myanmar
Page 1 of 7

Laos

(Away)
04 Aug
Myanmar
7 : 2
Laos
01 Aug
Laos
1 : 4
Philippines
28 Jul
Malaysia
4 : 0
Laos
25 Jul
Laos
0 : 5
Thailand
31 Mar
Nepal
0 : 1
Laos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand 4 4 0 0 18:4 12
2 Singapore 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
3 Malaysia 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
4 Cambodia 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
5 Timor-Leste 4 0 0 4 3:18 0
Promotion - ASEAN Championship 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam 4 3 1 0 11:2 10
2 Philippines 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
3 Indonesia 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
4 Myanmar 4 1 1 2 4:9 4
5 Laos 4 0 2 2 7:11 2
Promotion - ASEAN Championship 2024 (Play Offs)