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Myanmar vs Lebanon

World World

Friendly International 2024 Thuwunna Stadium, Yangon
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Zaw T.
31'
Sub
Safwan M. In: Al Zein H.
Out: Safwan M.
31'
Sub
Khant Myat Kaung In: Thein Zaw Win
Out: Khant Myat Kaung

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Myanmar and Lebanon finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lebanon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Myanmar
15%
Draws
51%
Lebanon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lebanon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Myanmar haven't matched Lebanon's recent run of results.
  • Lebanon are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Lebanon have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Myanmar Clean Sheet 10%
Lebanon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Myanmar Lebanon
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.53 1.29
Goals Conceded 2.43 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2024 Friendly International
Myanmar vs Lebanon
2:3
Mar 29, 2016 World Championship
Lebanon vs Myanmar
1:1
Oct 8, 2015 World Championship
Myanmar vs Lebanon
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Myanmar Compare

Top Goalscorer Zaw T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lwin M. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Lebanon Compare

Top Goalscorer Merheg S. J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fakhro M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Myanmar 10 / 100
Lebanon 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Myanmar Lebanon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lebanon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Myanmar's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Lebanon conceded in 46% of 28 recent games.

Myanmar went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Myanmar VS Lebanon
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Myanmar

(Home)
08 Aug
Thailand
2 : 0
Myanmar
04 Aug
Myanmar
7 : 2
Laos
28 Jul
Philippines
1 : 4
Myanmar
25 Jul
Myanmar
1 : 2
Malaysia
18 Jul
Vietnam
4 : 0
Myanmar
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Lebanon

(Away)
04 Jun
Lebanon
0 : 2
Yemen
26 Nov
Sudan
2 : 1
Lebanon
18 Nov
Brunei
0 : 3
Lebanon
14 Oct
Bhutan
0 : 4
Lebanon
09 Oct
Lebanon
2 : 0
Bhutan
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