Sport Picks

Stadium Background

MyPa vs HPS

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group A Kymenlaakson Sähkö Stadion, Kouvola
1 - 3
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Merilainen K.
38' Event
Ahola K.
40'
Ahola K.

AI Match Summary

The Kakkonen Group A game between MyPa and HPS finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward HPS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
MyPa
11%
Draws
80%
HPS
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: HPS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and HPS come out ahead of MyPa on wins alone.
  • Model gives HPS a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
MyPa Clean Sheet 10%
HPS Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MyPa HPS
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 3 4
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.63 2
Goals Conceded 3.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Kakkonen Group A
HPS vs MyPa
5:2
May 9, 2026 Kakkonen Group A
MyPa vs HPS
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MyPa Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahola K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

HPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Merilainen K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Alatalo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MyPa 10 / 100
HPS 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MyPa HPS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.50 goals when they meet.

MyPa found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

HPS's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Solid form: MyPa remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

MyPa VS HPS
0.63 Goals Scored 2
3.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

MyPa

(Home)
18 Jul
HPS
5 : 2
MyPa
11 Jul
MyPa
2 : 0
Union Plaani
04 Jul
HIFK
4 : 0
MyPa
27 Jun
MyPa
1 : 2
Atlantis
13 Jun
PuiU Helsinki
1 : 1
MyPa
Page 1 of 6

HPS

(Away)
18 Jul
HPS
5 : 2
MyPa
11 Jul
PEPO
2 : 0
HPS
04 Jul
HPS
3 : 2
Lahden Reipas
27 Jun
PuiU Helsinki
0 : 2
HPS
12 Jun
HPS
1 : 2
Kiffen
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kiffen1391331:2128
2HIFK1373327:1524
3HPS1372428:2123
4PEPO1364320:1822
5Atlantis1361640:3119
6Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ)1347225:1919
7Lahden Reipas1352626:2517
8PuiU Helsinki1342718:2614
9MyPa1332814:2811
10Union Plaani13121014:395
Promotion - Kakkonen Group A (Winners stage)
Relegation - Kakkonen Group A (Losers stage)