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MyPa vs Lahden Reipas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group A Kymenlaakson Sähkö Stadion, Kouvola
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Ahola K.
13' Event
Niemi V.
19'
Vaisanen K.

AI Match Summary

The Kakkonen Group A game between MyPa and Lahden Reipas finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward MyPa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
MyPa
15%
Draws
59%
Lahden Reipas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lahden Reipas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lahden Reipas come out ahead of MyPa on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Lahden Reipas's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Kakkonen Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • Lahden Reipas have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
MyPa Clean Sheet 11%
Lahden Reipas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MyPa Lahden Reipas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 3 3
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.45 2.14
Goals Conceded 2.55 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Kakkonen Group A
Lahden Reipas vs MyPa
7:1
Sep 4, 2026 Kakkonen Group A
MyPa vs Lahden Reipas
5:1
Jul 25, 2026 Kakkonen Group A
Lahden Reipas vs MyPa
4:2
May 16, 2026 Kakkonen Group A
MyPa vs Lahden Reipas
0:5
Feb 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Lahden Reipas vs MyPa
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MyPa Compare

Top Goalscorer Haimi O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ahola K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Lahden Reipas Compare

Top Goalscorer Salmensuu E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MyPa 10 / 100
Lahden Reipas 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MyPa Lahden Reipas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lahden Reipas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lahden Reipas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

MyPa scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

MyPa has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

MyPa VS Lahden Reipas
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

MyPa

(Home)
03 Oct
MyPa
0 : 2
PuiU Helsinki
26 Sept
Lahden Reipas
7 : 1
MyPa
19 Sept
PuiU Helsinki
3 : 0
MyPa
12 Sept
MyPa
2 : 3
Union Plaani
04 Sept
MyPa
5 : 1
Lahden Reipas
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Lahden Reipas

(Away)
03 Oct
Lahden Reipas
4 : 0
Union Plaani
26 Sept
Lahden Reipas
7 : 1
MyPa
19 Sept
Union Plaani
1 : 0
Lahden Reipas
12 Sept
Lahden Reipas
0 : 0
PuiU Helsinki
04 Sept
MyPa
5 : 1
Lahden Reipas
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