Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Myr Hornostajivka vs Inhulets

Ukraine Ukraine

Ukrainian Cup 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Kozak O.
75' Event
Kovalenko I.
90' Event
Khuchbarov K.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Inhulets advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Myr Hornostajivka
28%
Draws
22%
Inhulets
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Myr Hornostajivka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Myr Hornostajivka carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Myr Hornostajivka are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Myr Hornostajivka have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Inhulets, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Inhulets here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Myr Hornostajivka Clean Sheet 68%
Inhulets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Myr Hornostajivka Inhulets
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 12
Draws 3 6
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0 0.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2018 Ukrainian Cup
Myr Hornostajivka vs Inhulets
0:3
Oct 22, 2015 Druha Liga
Inhulets vs Myr Hornostajivka
0:0
Jul 26, 2015 Druha Liga
Myr Hornostajivka vs Inhulets
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Myr Hornostajivka Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Inhulets Compare

Top Goalscorer Kozak O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kovalenko I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Myr Hornostajivka 59 / 100
Inhulets 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Myr Hornostajivka Inhulets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Myr Hornostajivka found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Inhulets conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Inhulets has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Inhulets
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Myr Hornostajivka

(Home)
25 May
Myr Hornostajivka
3 : 2
FC Nikopol
20 May
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
2 : 0
Myr Hornostajivka
15 May
Myr Hornostajivka
1 : 2
Nova Kakhovka
11 May
Myr Hornostajivka
0 : 1
Kryvbas
05 May
Krystal
0 : 1
Myr Hornostajivka
Page 1 of 6

Inhulets

(Away)
10 Jul
Ch. Odesa
1 : 0
Inhulets
08 Jul
Oleksandriya
2 : 1
Inhulets
27 Jun
Kryvbas
1 : 2
Inhulets
01 Jun
Inhulets
1 : 3
Livyi Bereg
23 May
FC Chernihiv
1 : 2
Inhulets
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Inhulets-
TBD-
TBD-
Kolos Kovalivka-
Victoria2
Nyva Ternopil1
FC Nikopol1
Myr Hornostajivka4
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Mariupol-
Cherkashchyna-
TBD-
TBD-
Rukh Lviv-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Arsenal Kiev-
Sumy-
TBD-
TBD-
Kobra-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Karpaty (inactive)-
Lviv-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Nyva Vinnytsya2
Real Pharma Odesa0
TBD-
Hirnyk-Sport-
LNZ Cherkasy1
Polissya Zhytomyr0
Naftovik-Ukrnafta-
Kryvbas-
Desna-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ahrobiznes Volochysk-
TBD-
Nova Kakhovka0
Krystal1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Zorya-
SK Dnipro-1-
TBD-
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi0
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya2
Tavriya1
Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka0
TBD-
Volyn Lutsk-
FC Kharkiv-
TBD-
TBD-
Obolon-
Kramatorsk-
TBD-
Bukovyna1
Kalush2
Ch. Odesa-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Oleksandriya-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Vorskla Poltava-
Dynamo Kyiv-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
MFK Mykolaiv-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Balkany-
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)-
TBD-
Veres Rivne1
Minaj2
Olimpik Donetsk-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kremin-
TBD-
TBD-
Zirka Kropyvnytskyi-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shakhtar-
1/32-finals
Inhulets1
Kolos Kovalivka0
Victoria1
Myr Hornostajivka2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Mariupol-
Cherkashchyna3
Rukh Lviv1
TBD-
Arsenal Kiev-
Sumy-
Kobra-
TBD-
Karpaty (inactive)-
Lviv-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Nyva Vinnytsya2
Hirnyk-Sport1
LNZ Cherkasy1
Kryvbas2
Desna-
TBD-
Ahrobiznes Volochysk1
Krystal2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Zorya-
SK Dnipro-12
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya0
Tavriya2
Volyn Lutsk3
FC Kharkiv2
Obolon0
Kramatorsk1
Kalush2
Ch. Odesa-
TBD-
TBD-
Oleksandriya-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Vorskla Poltava-
Dynamo Kyiv-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
MFK Mykolaiv1
FK Balkany0
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)1
Minaj3
Olimpik Donetsk-
TBD-
Kremin1
Zirka Kropyvnytskyi2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shakhtar-
1/16-finals
Inhulets3
Myr Hornostajivka0
TBD-
FC Mariupol-
Cherkashchyna3
Arsenal Kiev2
Sumy0
Karpaty (inactive)3
Lviv-
TBD-
Nyva Vinnytsya0
Kryvbas1
Desna3
Krystal2
TBD-
Zorya-
SK Dnipro-12
Volyn Lutsk1
FC Kharkiv0
Kalush1
Ch. Odesa3
Oleksandriya0
TBD-
Vorskla Poltava-
Dynamo Kyiv-
TBD-
MFK Mykolaiv1
Minaj3
Olimpik Donetsk2
Zirka Kropyvnytskyi1
TBD-
Shakhtar-
1/8-finals
Inhulets3
FC Mariupol1
Cherkashchyna0
Karpaty (inactive)1
Lviv1
Kryvbas0
Desna1
Zorya2
SK Dnipro-13
Kalush0
Ch. Odesa1
Vorskla Poltava2
Dynamo Kyiv3
Minaj1
Olimpik Donetsk2
Shakhtar3
Quarter-finals
Inhulets2
Karpaty (inactive)1
Lviv0
Zorya1
SK Dnipro-12
Vorskla Poltava0
Dynamo Kyiv1
Shakhtar2
Semi-finals
Inhulets2
Zorya1
SK Dnipro-10
Shakhtar2
Final
Inhulets0
Shakhtar4