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Mzuzu City vs Dedza Dynamos Prediction & H2H Stats

Malawi Malawi

Super League 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Orotomal A.
83'
Sanudi F.
83'
Sanudi F.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025 game between Mzuzu City and Dedza Dynamos finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mzuzu City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Mzuzu City
35%
Draws
41%
Dedza Dynamos
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dedza Dynamos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dedza Dynamos come out ahead of Mzuzu City on wins alone.
  • Model gives Dedza Dynamos a 41% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Mzuzu City here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Mzuzu City Clean Sheet 20%
Dedza Dynamos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mzuzu City Dedza Dynamos
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 8
Draws 7 11
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.87 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2025 Super League
Mzuzu City vs Dedza Dynamos
1:0
Apr 13, 2025 Super League
Dedza Dynamos vs Mzuzu City
0:1
Dec 1, 2024 Super League
Dedza Dynamos vs Mzuzu City
0:0
Jul 14, 2024 Super League
Mzuzu City vs Dedza Dynamos
2:1
Dec 3, 2023 Super League
Mzuzu City vs Dedza Dynamos
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mzuzu City Compare

Top Goalscorer Orotomal A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Dedza Dynamos Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mzuzu City 20 / 100
Dedza Dynamos 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mzuzu City Dedza Dynamos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dedza Dynamos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dedza Dynamos has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Mzuzu City scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Mzuzu City has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mzuzu City VS Dedza Dynamos
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mzuzu City

(Home)
08 Feb
Big Bullets
2 : 0
Mzuzu City
01 Feb
Mzuzu City
2 : 1
Mighty Wanderers FC
27 Dec
Big Bullets
4 : 0
Mzuzu City
24 Dec
Silver Strikers
3 : 0
Mzuzu City
13 Dec
Chitipa United
2 : 2
Mzuzu City
Page 1 of 6

Dedza Dynamos

(Away)
09 Sept
Dedza Dynamos
0 : 0
Mitundu Baptist
23 Aug
Silver Strikers
0 : 0
Dedza Dynamos
16 Aug
Dedza Dynamos
1 : 1
Creck Sporting
08 Aug
Ekhaya
1 : 1
Dedza Dynamos
25 Jul
Dedza Dynamos
1 : 0
Big Bullets
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mighty Wanderers FC 30 20 9 1 51:14 69
2 Big Bullets 30 21 3 6 60:20 66
3 Silver Strikers 30 18 10 2 50:18 64
4 Blue Eagles 30 13 9 8 38:30 48
5 Civo Utd 30 13 8 9 39:21 47
6 Karonga United 30 13 5 12 31:28 44
7 Ekhaya 30 13 3 14 36:28 42
8 Creck Sporting 30 11 9 10 25:27 42
9 Moyale Barracks 30 10 10 10 28:40 40
10 Kamuzu Barracks 30 11 6 13 31:35 39
11 Chitipa United 30 9 10 11 23:30 37
12 Dedza Dynamos 30 8 8 14 24:33 32
13 MAFCO 30 8 7 15 29:37 31
14 Mzuzu City 30 7 7 16 26:49 28
15 Mighty Tigers 30 6 9 15 21:35 27
16 Songwe Border 30 1 3 26 10:77 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)