Sport Picks

Stadium Background

NAC Breda vs Eindhoven FC

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

NAC Breda play Eindhoven FC in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, NAC Breda averaged 1 goals scored and 1.79 conceded. Eindhoven FC averaged 1.72 goals scored and 1.62 conceded. In past meetings, NAC Breda won 3, Eindhoven FC won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 17, 2024 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for NAC Breda and 1.56 for Eindhoven FC. This points to a Eindhoven FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
NAC Breda
23%
Draws
48%
Eindhoven FC
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Eindhoven FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • NAC Breda picked up more points recently compared to Eindhoven FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
NAC Breda Clean Sheet 15%
Eindhoven FC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NAC Breda Eindhoven FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 13
Draws 10 4
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2024 Club Friendly
NAC Breda vs Eindhoven FC
3:0
Feb 9, 2024 Eerste Divisie
NAC Breda vs Eindhoven FC
2:2
Aug 25, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Eindhoven FC vs NAC Breda
2:0
Apr 21, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Eindhoven FC vs NAC Breda
1:2
Jan 10, 2023 KNVB Beker
NAC Breda vs Eindhoven FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

NAC Breda Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Eindhoven FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Muller T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Renfrum O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NAC Breda 29 / 100
Eindhoven FC 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NAC Breda Eindhoven FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Eindhoven FC or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

NAC Breda attacking → ← attacking Eindhoven FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

NAC Breda scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Eindhoven FC let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

NAC Breda went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Eindhoven FC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 43
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88