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NAC Breda vs Excelsior - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Yegoian I.
32' Event
Groen N.
41' Event
Reulen P.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between NAC Breda and Excelsior finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Excelsior.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
NAC Breda
30%
Draws
37%
Excelsior
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Excelsior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Excelsior come out ahead of NAC Breda on wins alone.
  • Model gives NAC Breda a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Excelsior have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
NAC Breda Clean Sheet 10%
Excelsior Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NAC Breda Excelsior
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.39 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
NAC Breda vs Excelsior
1:3
Feb 6, 2026 Eredivisie
NAC Breda vs Excelsior
0:2
Nov 29, 2025 Eredivisie
Excelsior vs NAC Breda
1:0
Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
NAC Breda vs Excelsior
0:1
Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
NAC Breda vs Excelsior
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

NAC Breda Compare

Top Goalscorer Reulen P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Excelsior Compare

Top Goalscorer Yegoian I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Groen N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NAC Breda 40 / 100
Excelsior 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NAC Breda Excelsior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: NAC Breda scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Excelsior let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: NAC Breda stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

NAC Breda VS Excelsior
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

NAC Breda

(Home)
03 Oct
Vitesse
2 : 2
NAC Breda
26 Sept
NAC Breda
4 : 2
Eindhoven FC
20 Sept
De Graafschap
1 : 2
NAC Breda
11 Sept
NAC Breda
2 : 3
Jong Utrecht
04 Sept
Waalwijk
4 : 2
NAC Breda
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Excelsior

(Away)
19 Sept
Ajax
2 : 2
Excelsior
13 Sept
Excelsior
1 : 2
Utrecht
08 Sept
Nijmegen
2 : 2
Excelsior
05 Sept
Willem II
0 : 3
Excelsior
29 Aug
Excelsior
2 : 1
Sparta Rotterdam
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