Sport Picks

Stadium Background

NAC Breda vs Excelsior

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Yegoian I.
32' Event
Groen N.
41' Event
Reulen P.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between NAC Breda and Excelsior finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Excelsior.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
NAC Breda
15%
Draws
53%
Excelsior
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Excelsior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Excelsior come out ahead of NAC Breda on wins alone.
  • Model gives Excelsior a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Excelsior have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
NAC Breda Clean Sheet 10%
Excelsior Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NAC Breda Excelsior
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.03 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
NAC Breda vs Excelsior
1:3
Feb 6, 2026 Eredivisie
NAC Breda vs Excelsior
0:2
Nov 29, 2025 Eredivisie
Excelsior vs NAC Breda
1:0
Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
NAC Breda vs Excelsior
0:1
Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
NAC Breda vs Excelsior
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

NAC Breda Compare

Top Goalscorer Reulen P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Excelsior Compare

Top Goalscorer Yegoian I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Groen N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NAC Breda 10 / 100
Excelsior 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NAC Breda Excelsior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EXC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Excelsior has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: NAC Breda remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

NAC Breda's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

NAC Breda VS Excelsior
1.63 Goals Scored 3.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

NAC Breda

(Home)
07 Aug
TOP Oss
1 : 2
NAC Breda
01 Aug
Bolton
1 : 0
NAC Breda
28 Jul
NAC Breda
3 : 2
OFI Crete
25 Jul
Sporting Lokeren
1 : 2
NAC Breda
18 Jul
NAC Breda
1 : 3
Excelsior
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Excelsior

(Away)
07 Aug
Cambuur
0 : 4
Excelsior
01 Aug
De Graafschap
1 : 5
Excelsior
24 Jul
Heracles
3 : 5
Excelsior
18 Jul
NAC Breda
1 : 3
Excelsior
11 Jul
Dordrecht
0 : 2
Excelsior
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