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NAC Breda vs Heracles - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

NAC Breda host Heracles in the Eerste Divisie. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: NAC Breda at 1.38 goals for, 1.83 against; Heracles at 1.62 for, 1.97 against. Head-to-head, NAC Breda have won 2 to Heracles's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 14, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.69 - 2.75) back NAC Breda to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
NAC Breda
20%
Draws
40%
Heracles
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • NAC Breda have managed 1.38 goals a game lately — Heracles are scoring more at 1.62.
  • Heracles are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
NAC Breda Clean Sheet 10%
Heracles Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NAC Breda Heracles
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 6 3
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.38 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Eredivisie
Heracles vs NAC Breda
0:1
Oct 29, 2025 KNVB Beker
NAC Breda vs Heracles
1:4
Sep 20, 2025 Eredivisie
NAC Breda vs Heracles
2:1
Jan 31, 2025 Eredivisie
NAC Breda vs Heracles
1:1
Nov 2, 2024 Eredivisie
Heracles vs NAC Breda
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NAC Breda 18 / 100
Heracles 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NAC Breda Heracles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heracles Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Heracles has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

NAC Breda scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: NAC Breda remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

NAC Breda VS Heracles
2.13 Goals Scored 3.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

NAC Breda

(Home)
09 Oct
NAC Breda
1 : 0
Maastricht
03 Oct
Vitesse
2 : 2
NAC Breda
26 Sept
NAC Breda
4 : 2
Eindhoven FC
20 Sept
De Graafschap
1 : 2
NAC Breda
11 Sept
NAC Breda
2 : 3
Jong Utrecht
Page 1 of 6

Heracles

(Away)
09 Oct
Heracles
3 : 0
Waalwijk
02 Oct
Helmond Sport
2 : 2
Heracles
26 Sept
Heracles
2 : 0
Vitesse
18 Sept
Almere City
1 : 0
Heracles
11 Sept
Heracles
3 : 2
Jong AZ Alkmaar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 10 8 1 1 31:12 25
2 Almere City 10 7 1 2 22:7 22
3 Venlo 10 7 0 3 26:14 21
4 FC Emmen 10 6 1 3 22:18 19
5 NAC Breda 10 5 2 3 20:19 17
6 Roda 10 4 4 2 10:8 16
7 Maastricht 10 5 1 4 13:20 16
8 FC Volendam 10 5 0 5 22:17 15
9 Waalwijk 10 3 5 2 19:15 14
10 Vitesse 10 4 2 4 15:15 14
11 Jong AZ Alkmaar 10 4 1 5 22:18 13
12 Jong PSV 10 3 4 3 15:17 13
13 TOP Oss 10 4 0 6 15:15 12
14 Den Bosch 10 3 2 5 14:18 11
15 Eindhoven FC 10 3 2 5 15:22 11
16 De Graafschap 10 3 2 5 13:23 11
17 Helmond Sport 10 2 3 5 16:19 9
18 Jong Ajax 10 2 2 6 13:25 8
19 Dordrecht 10 2 2 6 13:27 8
20 Jong Utrecht 10 2 1 7 16:23 7
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)