Sport Picks

Stadium Background

NAC Breda W vs AZ Alkmaar W

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 Rat Verlegh Stadion
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Schneijderberg J.
28' Event
van Beijeren J.
Assist: de Vries E.
41'
de Haan N.

AI Match Summary

AZ Alkmaar W in this Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored AZ Alkmaar W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
NAC Breda W
22%
Draws
60%
AZ Alkmaar W
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: AZ Alkmaar W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • AZ Alkmaar W have won more games recently than NAC Breda W.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on AZ Alkmaar W taking it.
  • Regular Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • AZ Alkmaar W have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%
NAC Breda W Clean Sheet 10%
AZ Alkmaar W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NAC Breda W AZ Alkmaar W
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 6 9
Draws 1 10
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 1 1.75
Goals Conceded 3 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Eredivisie Women
NAC Breda W vs AZ Alkmaar W
2:3
Nov 23, 2025 Eredivisie Women
AZ Alkmaar W vs NAC Breda W
8:1
Jun 24, 2025 Club Friendly Women
NAC Breda W vs AZ Alkmaar W
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

NAC Breda W Compare

Top Goalscorer Schneijderberg J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Visser J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

AZ Alkmaar W Compare

Top Goalscorer van Beijeren J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader van Lunteren D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NAC Breda W 18 / 100
AZ Alkmaar W 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NAC Breda W AZ Alkmaar W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: AZ Alkmaar W conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

NAC Breda W found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).

Difficult form: AZ Alkmaar W registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

NAC Breda W VS AZ Alkmaar W
1 Goals Scored 1.75
3 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1PSV W22173256:1554
2Ajax W22155255:1850
3Feyenoord W22145345:1747
4Twente W22144455:1946
5Utrecht W22114741:3737
6PEC Zwolle W221111035:3234
7Heerenveen W22821238:5126
8AZ Alkmaar W22661036:4624
9Den Haag W22641224:4522
10Hera United W22551224:4220
11SBV Excelsior W22221818:518
12NAC Breda W22211917:717