Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nacao U20 vs Concordia U20

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense U20
Sat, Jul 11, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nacao U20 play Concordia U20 in the Catarinense U20. It looks like a close match. Recently, Nacao U20 averaged 1.39 goals scored and 1.89 conceded. Concordia U20 averaged 1 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. In past meetings, Nacao U20 won 2, Concordia U20 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 30, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Nacao U20 and 1.38 for Concordia U20. This points to a Nacao U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Nacao U20
18%
Draws
37%
Concordia U20
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Nacao U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Nacao U20 picked up more points recently compared to Concordia U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Nacao U20 Clean Sheet 17%
Concordia U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacao U20 Concordia U20
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 7 5
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.39 1
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2026 Catarinense U20
Concordia U20 vs Nacao U20
0:3
Jun 28, 2025 Catarinense U20
Concordia U20 vs Nacao U20
2:1
Apr 30, 2025 Catarinense U20
Nacao U20 vs Concordia U20
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacao U20 44 / 100
Concordia U20 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacao U20 Concordia U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Nacao U20 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nacao U20 attacking → ← attacking Concordia U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacao U20 scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Concordia U20 let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Nacao U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Concordia U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 23
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Avai U201174028:825
2Barra FC U201173127:1424
3Chapecoense-SC U201162322:1820
4Criciuma U201054118:619
5Figueirense U201245319:1417
6Nacao U201243526:2115
7Carlos Renaux U201242612:2314
8Concordia U201133511:1912
9Joinville U201113710:246
10Brusque U2013111114:404