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Stadium Background

Nacao U20 vs Concordia U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense U20
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Rosa A.
54' Event
Vinicius de Souza Nogueira J.
64' Event
Pedro Henrique

AI Match Summary

Nacao U20 in this Catarinense U20 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nacao U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Nacao U20
15%
Draws
0%
Concordia U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nacao U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Concordia U20 have won more games recently than Nacao U20.
  • Win probability leans Nacao U20's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Nacao U20 have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Nacao U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Concordia U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacao U20 Concordia U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.33 0.87
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Catarinense U20
Nacao U20 vs Concordia U20
2:1
Apr 30, 2026 Catarinense U20
Concordia U20 vs Nacao U20
0:3
Jun 28, 2025 Catarinense U20
Concordia U20 vs Nacao U20
2:1
Apr 30, 2025 Catarinense U20
Nacao U20 vs Concordia U20
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nacao U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rosa A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vinicius de Souza Nogueira J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Concordia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro Henrique
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacao U20 68 / 100
Concordia U20 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacao U20 Concordia U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nacao U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Concordia U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Concordia U20 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Nacao U20's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Nacao U20 VS Concordia U20
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacao U20

(Home)
01 Aug
Nacao U20
1 : 7
Barra FC U20
26 Jul
Chapecoense-SC U20
2 : 2
Nacao U20
22 Jul
Nacao U20
1 : 2
Avai U20
17 Jul
Figueirense U20
2 : 0
Nacao U20
11 Jul
Nacao U20
2 : 1
Concordia U20
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Concordia U20

(Away)
29 Jul
Concordia U20
0 : 2
Chapecoense-SC U20
25 Jul
Avai U20
8 : 1
Concordia U20
19 Jul
Concordia U20
0 : 3
Barra FC U20
15 Jul
Criciuma U20
1 : 0
Concordia U20
11 Jul
Nacao U20
2 : 1
Concordia U20
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Criciuma U20 18 12 5 1 34:10 41
2 Barra FC U20 18 12 3 3 52:21 39
3 Avai U20 18 11 6 1 45:15 39
4 Chapecoense-SC U20 18 10 3 5 37:26 33
5 Carlos Renaux U20 18 7 3 8 21:32 24
6 Figueirense U20 18 6 5 7 25:24 23
7 Nacao U20 18 5 4 9 32:36 19
8 Concordia U20 18 5 3 10 15:35 18
9 Joinville U20 18 3 3 12 17:41 12
10 Brusque U20 18 1 1 16 14:52 4
Promotion - Catarinense U20 (Play Offs)