Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nacao U20 vs Joinville U20

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense U20
Nacao U20 Logo

Nacao U20

4 - 4
FT
Joinville U20 Logo

Joinville U20

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Sobrinho L.
19'
Julius
34' Event
Bicca M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense U20 game between Nacao U20 and Joinville U20 finished 4-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Nacao U20
15%
Draws
51%
Joinville U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Joinville U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Joinville U20 come out ahead of Nacao U20 on wins alone.
  • Nacao U20 are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Catarinense U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Nacao U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Joinville U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacao U20 Joinville U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 7 4
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 1.33 1.2
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2026 Catarinense U20
Joinville U20 vs Nacao U20
0:1
Apr 19, 2026 Catarinense U20
Nacao U20 vs Joinville U20
4:4
Jun 25, 2025 Catarinense U20
Nacao U20 vs Joinville U20
1:4
Apr 18, 2025 Catarinense U20
Joinville U20 vs Nacao U20
2:1
Jul 18, 2024 Catarinense U20
Nacao U20 vs Joinville U20
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nacao U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bicca M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Thiago
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Joinville U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sobrinho L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pedro Victor
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacao U20 36 / 100
Joinville U20 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacao U20 Joinville U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Joinville U20 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Nacao U20 scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Away concern: Joinville U20 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nacao U20 VS Joinville U20
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacao U20

(Home)
01 Aug
Nacao U20
1 : 7
Barra FC U20
26 Jul
Chapecoense-SC U20
2 : 2
Nacao U20
22 Jul
Nacao U20
1 : 2
Avai U20
17 Jul
Figueirense U20
2 : 0
Nacao U20
11 Jul
Nacao U20
2 : 1
Concordia U20
Page 1 of 6

Joinville U20

(Away)
31 Jul
Joinville U20
2 : 3
Carlos Renaux U20
27 Jul
Barra FC U20
7 : 1
Joinville U20
22 Jul
Joinville U20
1 : 3
Criciuma U20
19 Jul
Joinville U20
2 : 1
Avai U20
11 Jul
Brusque U20
0 : 1
Joinville U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Criciuma U20 18 12 5 1 34:10 41
2 Barra FC U20 18 12 3 3 52:21 39
3 Avai U20 18 11 6 1 45:15 39
4 Chapecoense-SC U20 18 10 3 5 37:26 33
5 Carlos Renaux U20 18 7 3 8 21:32 24
6 Figueirense U20 18 6 5 7 25:24 23
7 Nacao U20 18 5 4 9 32:36 19
8 Concordia U20 18 5 3 10 15:35 18
9 Joinville U20 18 3 3 12 17:41 12
10 Brusque U20 18 1 1 16 14:52 4
Promotion - Catarinense U20 (Play Offs)