Sport Picks

Brazil

Catarinense 2

Nacao

0 - 0

Tubarao

Our Tip

Match Events

88'

Luam Parede

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense 2 game between Nacao and Tubarao finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Nacao

28%

Draws

22%

Tubarao

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Nacao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Tubarao carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Nacao a 50% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%

Nacao Clean Sheet 68%

Tubarao Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Nacao	Tubarao
Matches Played	28	31
Wins	4	10
Draws	13	9
Losses	11	12
Goals Scored	0.63	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Catarinense 2

Tubarao vs Nacao

Possession: 46% - 59% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

May 12, 2026 Catarinense 2

Nacao vs Tubarao

Possession: 43% - 58% Cards: 2 - 3

0:0

Jul 27, 2025 Catarinense 2

Nacao vs Tubarao

Possession: 58% - 50% Cards: 1 - 0

1:2

Jul 16, 2022 Catarinense 2

Tubarao vs Nacao

Possession: 57% - 44% Cards: 1 - 1

0:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacao 59 / 100

Tubarao 23 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Nacao Tubarao

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAC Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Nacao remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Tubarao has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Nacao's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Nacao VS Tubarao

0.63 Goals Scored 1.63

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5

50% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Hercilio Luz	16	12	2	2	33:9	38
2	CA Metropolitano	16	10	2	4	31:18	32
3	Caravaggio	16	9	4	3	44:19	31
4	Blumenau	16	8	4	4	32:13	28
5	Tubarao	16	6	5	5	22:17	23
6	Fluminense-SC	16	5	3	8	14:21	18
7	Nacao	16	4	6	6	16:24	18
8	Gremio Juventus	16	5	2	9	16:21	17
9	Guarani de Palhoca	16	4	5	7	15:24	17
10	Jaragua-SC	16	0	1	15	6:63	1