Sport Picks
Match Events
10'
10'
Renanzinho
20'
20'
Mercado K.
79'
79'
Vitinho
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 3-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
35%
37%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Amazonas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Nacional-AM (Manaus) lately — more wins on the board than Amazonas.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Nacional-AM (Manaus) have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Nacional-AM (Manaus), who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Nacional-AM (Manaus) Clean Sheet 68%
Amazonas Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nacional-AM (Manaus) | Amazonas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 43 | 42 |
| Wins | 25 | 18 |
| Draws | 11 | 10 |
| Losses | 7 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.74 | 0.98 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 21, 2026 Amazonense
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs Amazonas
2:1
Mar 6, 2026 Amazonense
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs Amazonas
3:0
Feb 8, 2026 Amazonense
Amazonas vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1:0
Jan 17, 2026 Amazonense
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs Amazonas
1:1
Apr 2, 2025 Amazonense
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs Amazonas
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nacional-AM (Manaus) Compare
Top Goalscorer Renanzinho
1 Goals Assists Leader Mercado K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Amazonas Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 42 / 100
Amazonas 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nacional-AM (Manaus) Amazonas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nacional-AM (Manaus) scored in 60% of their last 43 games.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Nacional-AM (Manaus) went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Amazonas conceded in 52% of 42 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Nacional-AM (Manaus) VS Amazonas
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
(Home) 03 Sept
CSA
0 : 0 Nacional-AM (Manaus)
28 Aug
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
3 : 1 CSA
16 Aug
ABC
1 : 0 Nacional-AM (Manaus)
08 Aug
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 2 ABC
25 Jul
Iguatu
1 : 2 Nacional-AM (Manaus)
Page 1 of 9
28 Aug
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
3 : 1 CSA
08 Aug
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 2 ABC
18 Jul
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 1 Iguatu
04 Jul
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 0 Capital
28 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0 : 0 Araguaina
Page 1 of 5
Amazonas
(Away) 29 Aug
Amazonas
2 : 2 Ypiranga FC
23 Aug
Brusque
1 : 1 Amazonas
15 Aug
Amazonas
0 : 0 Botafogo PB
09 Aug
Maringa FC
0 : 3 Amazonas
26 Jul
Amazonas
2 : 1 Paysandu PA
Page 1 of 9
23 Aug
Brusque
1 : 1 Amazonas
09 Aug
Maringa FC
0 : 3 Amazonas
12 Jul
Internacional de Limeira
1 : 0 Amazonas
30 Jun
Volta Redonda
3 : 0 Amazonas
21 Jun
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1 : 1 Amazonas
Page 1 of 5
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Quarter-finals
Manauara -
TBD -
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3
Amazonas 0
Manaus FC -
TBD -
Parintins 2
Princesa do Solimoes 0
Semi-finals
Manauara 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
Manaus FC 1
Parintins 2
Final
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 2
Parintins 0
