Sport Picks
Nacional Asuncion vs Rubio Nu
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Arsenio Erico, Asunción 
Match Events
20'
20'
Palacios J.
37'
37'
Sub
Palacios J. In: Roldan M.
Out: Palacios J.
58'
58'
Sub
Meza L. In: Jara F.
Out: Meza L.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-0, with Nacional Asuncion advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nacional Asuncion
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Nacional Asuncion come out ahead of Rubio Nu on wins alone.
- Nacional Asuncion are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Nacional Asuncion have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Nacional Asuncion, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Nacional Asuncion Clean Sheet 68%
Rubio Nu Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nacional Asuncion | Rubio Nu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 5 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 15, 2026 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs Nacional Asuncion
1:1
Mar 15, 2026 Copa de Primera
Nacional Asuncion vs Rubio Nu
1:0
Oct 21, 2017 Copa de Primera
Nacional Asuncion vs Rubio Nu
1:1
Aug 11, 2017 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs Nacional Asuncion
0:1
Apr 28, 2017 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs Nacional Asuncion
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nacional Asuncion Compare
Top Goalscorer Santacruz J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Rubio Nu Compare
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nacional Asuncion 95 / 100
Rubio Nu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nacional Asuncion Rubio Nu
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Nacional Asuncion scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.
Recent resilience: Nacional Asuncion stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Rubio Nu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Nacional Asuncion VS Rubio Nu
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Nacional Asuncion
(Home) 24 May
Nacional Asuncion
2 : 1 Libertad Asuncion
15 May
Rubio Nu
1 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
09 May
Nacional Asuncion
2 : 1 Sportivo Trinidense
03 May
Guarani
0 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
24 Apr
Nacional Asuncion
2 : 1 Recoleta
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Nacional Asuncion
2 : 1 Libertad Asuncion
09 May
Nacional Asuncion
2 : 1 Sportivo Trinidense
24 Apr
Nacional Asuncion
2 : 1 Recoleta
11 Apr
Nacional Asuncion
0 : 0 Cerro Porteno
27 Mar
Nacional Asuncion
3 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
Page 1 of 3
Rubio Nu
(Away) 24 May
Cerro Porteno
2 : 0 Rubio Nu
15 May
Rubio Nu
1 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
09 May
2 de Mayo
2 : 0 Rubio Nu
02 May
Rubio Nu
0 : 0 Sp. Luqueno
26 Apr
San Lorenzo
0 : 1 Rubio Nu
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Cerro Porteno
2 : 0 Rubio Nu
09 May
2 de Mayo
2 : 0 Rubio Nu
26 Apr
San Lorenzo
0 : 1 Rubio Nu
06 Apr
Sportivo Trinidense
4 : 0 Rubio Nu
26 Mar
Recoleta
1 : 0 Rubio Nu
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 37:17 | 49 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 31:22 | 39 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 30:22 | 38 |
| 4 | Sportivo Ameliano | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:21 | 33 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30:24 | 32 |
| 6 | Libertad Asuncion | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 34:26 | 31 |
| 7 | Guarani | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 27:23 | 29 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 35:32 | 28 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 15:26 | 23 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 18:35 | 22 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 24:33 | 20 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14:41 | 15 |
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