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Nacional de Muriae U20 vs Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro U20
Nacional de Muriae U20 Logo

Nacional de Muriae U20

2 - 1
FT
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 Logo

Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Negueba G.
23' Event
Luiz Guilherme
41' Event
Ruan Indio
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Nacional de Muriae U20 in this Mineiro U20 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nacional de Muriae U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Nacional de Muriae U20
15%
Draws
45%
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 have won more games recently than Nacional de Muriae U20.
  • Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Nacional de Muriae U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacional de Muriae U20 Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
Matches Played 20 36
Wins 10 19
Draws 6 9
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 1.6 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Mineiro U20
Nacional de Muriae U20 vs Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
2:2
Apr 18, 2026 Mineiro U20
Nacional de Muriae U20 vs Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nacional de Muriae U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Negueba G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Luiz Guilherme
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional de Muriae U20 22 / 100
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacional de Muriae U20 Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacional de Muriae U20's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 let in goals in 64% of their last 36 matches.

Nacional de Muriae U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nacional de Muriae U20 VS Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
1.75 Goals Scored 2.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacional de Muriae U20

(Home)
02 Oct
Boston City U20
2 : 3
Nacional de Muriae U20
19 Sept
Atletico-MG U20
4 : 2
Nacional de Muriae U20
12 Sept
Nacional de Muriae U20
2 : 0
Itabirito U20
29 Aug
Nacional de Muriae U20
1 : 4
America MG U20
23 Aug
Social U20
1 : 2
Nacional de Muriae U20
Page 1 of 4

Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20

(Away)
03 Oct
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
3 : 0
Athletic Club U20
27 Sept
Athletic Club U20
2 : 1
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
19 Sept
Athletic Club U20
0 : 0
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
12 Sept
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
2 : 1
Coimbra Sports U20
09 Sept
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
3 : 1
Guanabara City U20
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico-MG U20 10 8 0 2 35:7 24
2 Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 10 7 1 2 21:13 22
3 Athletic Club U20 10 6 1 3 20:11 19
4 Nacional de Muriae U20 10 5 4 1 16:10 19
5 Itabirito U20 10 5 2 3 12:13 17
6 America MG U20 10 5 1 4 23:13 16
7 Betim FC U20 10 4 3 3 14:18 15
8 Coimbra Sports U20 10 4 2 4 7:7 14
9 Boston City U20 10 4 2 4 12:16 14
10 Social U20 10 3 3 4 15:17 12
11 Inter de Minas U20 10 3 3 4 10:15 12
12 Sao Joao del Rei U20 10 1 6 3 11:13 9
13 Villa Real U20 10 1 4 5 4:14 7
14 Minas Boca U20 10 1 3 6 8:26 6
15 Uberabinha U20 10 0 1 9 5:20 1
Promotion - Mineiro U20 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Mineiro U20 (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 10 7 1 2 21:13 22
2 Itabirito U20 10 5 2 3 12:13 17
3 Coimbra Sports U20 10 4 2 4 7:7 14
4 Social U20 10 3 3 4 15:17 12
5 Sao Joao del Rei U20 10 1 6 3 11:13 9
Promotion - Mineiro U20 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Mineiro U20 (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Athletic Club U20 10 6 1 3 20:11 19
2 America MG U20 10 5 1 4 23:13 16
3 Villa Real U20 10 1 4 5 4:14 7
4 Minas Boca U20 10 1 3 6 8:26 6
5 Uberabinha U20 10 0 1 9 5:20 1
Promotion - Mineiro U20 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Mineiro U20 (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico-MG U20 10 8 0 2 35:7 24
2 Nacional de Muriae U20 10 5 4 1 16:10 19
3 Betim FC U20 10 4 3 3 14:18 15
4 Boston City U20 10 4 2 4 12:16 14
5 Inter de Minas U20 10 3 3 4 10:15 12
Promotion - Mineiro U20 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Mineiro U20 (Losers stage)