Sport Picks

Brazil

Mineiro U20

Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Nacional de Muriae U20 play Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 in the Mineiro U20. It looks like a close match. Recently, Nacional de Muriae U20 averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.09 conceded. Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 averaged 2.15 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. In past meetings, Nacional de Muriae U20 won 1, Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 18, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Nacional de Muriae U20 and 1.10 for Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20. This points to a Nacional de Muriae U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Nacional de Muriae U20

26%

Draws

35%

Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20

Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Nacional de Muriae U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Nacional de Muriae U20 picked up more points recently compared to Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.10 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 76%

Over 2.5 Goals 67%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%

Nacional de Muriae U20 Clean Sheet 22%

Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 Clean Sheet 13%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Nacional de Muriae U20	Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
Matches Played	11	34
Wins	5	19
Draws	4	7
Losses	2	8
Goals Scored	1.55	2.15
Goals Conceded	1.09	1.29
Expected Goals (xG)	1.14	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.71	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Mineiro U20

Nacional de Muriae U20 vs Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20

Possession: 43% - 42% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nacional de Muriae U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Negueba G.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Luiz Guilherme

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.88

Avg xA / game 0.57

Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional de Muriae U20 40 / 100

Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Nacional de Muriae U20 Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Nacional de Muriae U20 or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26%

3.23

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.64

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nacional de Muriae U20 attacking → ← attacking Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacional de Muriae U20 scored in 82% of their last 11 games.

Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 let in goals in 62% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Nacional de Muriae U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 64

1.14 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

0.71 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Atletico-MG U20	10	8	0	2	35:7	24
2	Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20	10	7	1	2	21:13	22
3	Athletic Club U20	10	6	1	3	20:11	19
4	Nacional de Muriae U20	10	5	4	1	16:10	19
5	Itabirito U20	10	5	2	3	12:13	17
6	America MG U20	10	5	1	4	23:13	16
7	Betim FC U20	10	4	3	3	14:18	15
8	Coimbra Sports U20	10	4	2	4	7:7	14
9	Boston City U20	10	4	2	4	12:16	14
10	Social U20	10	3	3	4	15:17	12
11	Inter de Minas U20	10	3	3	4	10:15	12
12	Sao Joao del Rei U20	10	1	6	3	11:13	9
13	Villa Real U20	10	1	4	5	4:14	7
14	Minas Boca U20	10	1	3	6	8:26	6
15	Uberabinha U20	10	0	1	9	5:20	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20	10	7	1	2	21:13	22
2	Itabirito U20	10	5	2	3	12:13	17
3	Coimbra Sports U20	10	4	2	4	7:7	14
4	Social U20	10	3	3	4	15:17	12
5	Sao Joao del Rei U20	10	1	6	3	11:13	9

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Athletic Club U20	10	6	1	3	20:11	19
2	America MG U20	10	5	1	4	23:13	16
3	Villa Real U20	10	1	4	5	4:14	7
4	Minas Boca U20	10	1	3	6	8:26	6
5	Uberabinha U20	10	0	1	9	5:20	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Atletico-MG U20	10	8	0	2	35:7	24
2	Nacional de Muriae U20	10	5	4	1	16:10	19
3	Betim FC U20	10	4	3	3	14:18	15
4	Boston City U20	10	4	2	4	12:16	14
5	Inter de Minas U20	10	3	3	4	10:15	12