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Nacional de Muriae vs Santarritense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Lima M.
34' Event
Renato Camargo
90' Event
Negueba G.

AI Match Summary

Nacional de Muriae in this Mineiro 3 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nacional de Muriae.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Nacional de Muriae
15%
Draws
20%
Santarritense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nacional de Muriae

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Nacional de Muriae at 1.32 per game, Santarritense at 0.91.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Nacional de Muriae taking it.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Nacional de Muriae Clean Sheet 20%
Santarritense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacional de Muriae Santarritense
Matches Played 28 22
Wins 8 8
Draws 11 7
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.32 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.49 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2026 Mineiro 3
Nacional de Muriae vs Santarritense
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nacional de Muriae Compare

Top Goalscorer Lima M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Renato Camargo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Santarritense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.47

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional de Muriae 85 / 100
Santarritense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacional de Muriae Santarritense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nacional de Muriae Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nacional de Muriae scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Nacional de Muriae remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Santarritense's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Nacional de Muriae VS Santarritense
1.38 Goals Scored 0.2
1.5 Goals Conceded 3.6
75% Over 1.5 60%
50% Over 2.5 60%
25% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacional de Muriae

(Home)
05 Oct
Nacional de Muriae
2 : 1
Nova Lavras
25 Sept
Inter de Minas
0 : 1
Nacional de Muriae
21 Sept
Nacional de Muriae
3 : 0
Santarritense
21 Jun
Valeriodoce
2 : 2
Nacional de Muriae
14 Jun
Nacional de Muriae
0 : 3
North Esporte Clube
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Santarritense

(Away)
02 Oct
Inter de Minas
7 : 1
Santarritense
27 Sept
Santarritense
0 : 8
Venda Nova FC
21 Sept
Nacional de Muriae
3 : 0
Santarritense
29 Sept
Novo Esporte
4 : 0
Santarritense
25 Sept
Santarritense
2 : 1
Novo Esporte
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venda Nova FC 4 3 1 0 13:1 10
2 Nacional de Muriae 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
3 Novo Esporte 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
4 Inter de Minas 4 1 0 3 8:7 3
5 Nova Lavras 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
6 Santarritense 3 0 0 3 1:18 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 (Final Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paracatu 4 3 0 1 10:2 9
2 Betim FC 2 3 3 0 0 5:0 9
3 Sao Joao del Rei 4 2 0 2 3:2 6
4 Araxa 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
5 Funorte EC 3 1 0 2 1:6 3
6 Siderurgica 3 0 0 3 0:9 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 (Final Group)