Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nacional FBC vs Pacifico

Peru Peru

Copa Peru 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Abarca R.
83'
Bravo D.
88' Event
Astorga J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Nacional FBC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Nacional FBC
28%
Draws
22%
Pacifico
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Nacional FBC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Pacifico carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Nacional FBC's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Pacifico arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Nacional FBC, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Nacional FBC Clean Sheet 20%
Pacifico Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacional FBC Pacifico
Matches Played 8 30
Wins 2 8
Draws 2 8
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 0.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 8, 2024 Copa Peru
Pacifico vs Nacional FBC
2:2
Nov 30, 2024 Copa Peru
Nacional FBC vs Pacifico
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nacional FBC Compare

Top Goalscorer Abarca R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Astorga J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Pacifico Compare

Top Goalscorer Acosta E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional FBC 49 / 100
Pacifico 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacional FBC Pacifico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacional FBC's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 7 recent games.

Pacifico let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Nacional FBC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nacional FBC VS Pacifico
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacional FBC

(Home)
18 Dec
FC Cajamarca
4 : 3
Nacional FBC
15 Dec
Ecosem Pasco
0 : 1
Nacional FBC
08 Dec
Pacifico
2 : 2
Nacional FBC
30 Nov
Nacional FBC
2 : 1
Pacifico
05 Nov
Nacional FBC
2 : 2
Ecosem Pasco
Page 1 of 2

Pacifico

(Away)
08 Dec
Pacifico
2 : 2
Nacional FBC
30 Nov
Nacional FBC
2 : 1
Pacifico
30 Nov
Pacifico
0 : 1
Deportivo Coopsol
23 Nov
Comerciantes Unidos
5 : 1
Pacifico
14 Nov
Pacifico
3 : 2
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
CD San Cristobal3
Juventud Cautivo4
Tacna Heroica3
Santo Domingo2
Viargoca2
Juventud Santo Domingo3
Deportivo Ucrania7
San Antonio2
FC Cajamarca4
Cultural Volante3
Juventus Huamachuco4
Social Pariacoto3
Ecosem Pasco4
Deportivo El Inca3
Pacifico3
Nacional FBC4
Quarter-finals
Juventud Cautivo0
Tacna Heroica1
Juventud Santo Domingo2
Deportivo Ucrania1
FC Cajamarca3
Juventus Huamachuco2
Ecosem Pasco0
Nacional FBC1
Semi-finals
Tacna Heroica2
Juventud Santo Domingo1
FC Cajamarca4
Nacional FBC3
Final
Tacna Heroica2
FC Cajamarca1