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Nacional MG vs Pocos de Caldas

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Mineiro 2 2011
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Mineiro 2 2011 game between Nacional MG and Pocos de Caldas finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nacional MG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Nacional MG
39%
Draws
31%
Pocos de Caldas
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Nacional MG carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Nacional MG Clean Sheet 20%
Pocos de Caldas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacional MG Pocos de Caldas
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 0 0.88
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2011 Mineiro 2
Pocos de Caldas vs Nacional MG
0:6
Feb 20, 2011 Mineiro 2
Nacional MG vs Pocos de Caldas
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional MG 31 / 100
Pocos de Caldas 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacional MG Pocos de Caldas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Nacional MG scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Pocos de Caldas let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Away concern: Pocos de Caldas has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pocos de Caldas
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%