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Nacional PB vs Picuiense

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2025 Estadio Jose Cavalcanti, Patos
Nacional PB Logo

Nacional PB

2 - 2
FT
Picuiense Logo

Picuiense

Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Sub
Breno Renan In: Jackson
Out: Breno Renan
7' Event
Rogerio
44'
Pedrinho
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paraibano 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Nacional PB
30%
Draws
0%
Picuiense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nacional PB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Nacional PB at 1.31 per game, Picuiense at 0.82.
  • Model gives Nacional PB a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paraibano 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Nacional PB Clean Sheet 68%
Picuiense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacional PB Picuiense
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 8
Draws 11 3
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.31 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.48 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.66 1.16
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2025 Paraibano
Nacional PB vs Picuiense
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nacional PB Compare

Top Goalscorer Rogerio
1 Goals
Assists Leader Natalicio
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.33

Picuiense Compare

Top Goalscorer Cordeiro A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.64

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional PB 95 / 100
Picuiense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacional PB Picuiense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nacional PB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Picuiense registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Nacional PB scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Picuiense conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Nacional PB VS Picuiense
1.88 Goals Scored 0.43
1.88 Goals Conceded 3.43
88% Over 1.5 71%
88% Over 2.5 71%
50% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacional PB

(Home)
22 Feb
Treze PB
1 : 2
Nacional PB
12 Feb
Nacional PB
1 : 1
Sousa
09 Feb
Serra Branca
2 : 2
Nacional PB
05 Feb
Nacional PB
0 : 0
Botafogo PB
01 Feb
Atletico Cajazeirense
1 : 0
Nacional PB
Page 1 of 6

Picuiense

(Away)
19 Feb
Picuiense
0 : 5
EC de Patos
15 Feb
Botafogo PB
3 : 0
Picuiense
12 Feb
Picuiense
2 : 6
Treze PB
09 Feb
Picuiense
1 : 2
Auto Esporte
03 Feb
Serra Branca
8 : 0
Picuiense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sousa 9 6 2 1 14:3 20
2 Botafogo PB 9 6 1 2 19:8 19
3 Treze PB 9 5 3 1 18:8 18
4 Serra Branca 9 5 2 2 21:8 17
5 Campinense 9 4 2 3 14:10 14
6 EC de Patos 9 3 1 5 14:16 10
7 Pombal 9 2 3 4 7:11 9
8 Nacional PB 9 2 3 4 15:21 9
9 Auto Esporte 9 1 4 4 9:16 7
10 Picuiense 9 0 1 8 5:35 1
11 CSP 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Paraibano 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraibano 2 (Main)