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Stadium Background

Nacional PB vs Pombal

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2025 Estadio Jose Cavalcanti, Patos
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Rogerio
7'
Rogerio
18'
William Wallace

AI Match Summary

The Paraibano 2025 game between Nacional PB and Pombal finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nacional PB.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Nacional PB
35%
Draws
35%
Pombal
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nacional PB come out ahead of Pombal on wins alone.
  • Nacional PB are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Paraibano 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Nacional PB here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Nacional PB Clean Sheet 18%
Pombal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacional PB Pombal
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 8
Draws 11 6
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.33 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Paraibano
Nacional PB vs Pombal
3:0
Jan 15, 2025 Paraibano
Nacional PB vs Pombal
2:1
Mar 10, 2024 Paraibano
Nacional PB vs Pombal
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nacional PB Compare

Top Goalscorer Rogerio
1 Goals
Assists Leader Robinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Pombal Compare

Top Goalscorer Jardel
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional PB 58 / 100
Pombal 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacional PB Pombal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nacional PB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pombal has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Attacking prowess: Nacional PB scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Nacional PB stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nacional PB VS Pombal
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacional PB

(Home)
22 Feb
Treze PB
1 : 2
Nacional PB
12 Feb
Nacional PB
1 : 1
Sousa
09 Feb
Serra Branca
2 : 2
Nacional PB
05 Feb
Nacional PB
0 : 0
Botafogo PB
01 Feb
Atletico Cajazeirense
1 : 0
Nacional PB
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Pombal

(Away)
22 Feb
Sousa
2 : 0
Pombal
18 Feb
Confianca PB
3 : 2
Pombal
14 Feb
Pombal
1 : 1
Atletico Cajazeirense
04 Feb
EC de Patos
0 : 1
Pombal
01 Feb
Pombal
3 : 1
Serra Branca
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sousa 9 6 2 1 14:3 20
2 Botafogo PB 9 6 1 2 19:8 19
3 Treze PB 9 5 3 1 18:8 18
4 Serra Branca 9 5 2 2 21:8 17
5 Campinense 9 4 2 3 14:10 14
6 EC de Patos 9 3 1 5 14:16 10
7 Pombal 9 2 3 4 7:11 9
8 Nacional PB 9 2 3 4 15:21 9
9 Auto Esporte 9 1 4 4 9:16 7
10 Picuiense 9 0 1 8 5:35 1
11 CSP 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Paraibano 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraibano 2 (Main)