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Stadium Background

Nacional Potosi vs The Strongest

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Pacena Estadio Víctor Agustín Ugarte
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Baldomar O.
41'
Pedraza P.
45'
Lino D.

AI Match Summary

The Copa Pacena game between Nacional Potosi and The Strongest finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nacional Potosi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Nacional Potosi
30%
Draws
34%
The Strongest
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nacional Potosi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • The Strongest carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Nacional Potosi taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa Pacena fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Nacional Potosi Clean Sheet 16%
The Strongest Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacional Potosi The Strongest
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2026 Club Friendly
The Strongest vs Nacional Potosi
5:1
Mar 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Nacional Potosi vs The Strongest
2:0
Dec 18, 2025 Copa Pacena
Nacional Potosi vs The Strongest
1:0
Dec 16, 2025 Copa Pacena
The Strongest vs Nacional Potosi
1:2
Aug 9, 2025 Division Profesional
Nacional Potosi vs The Strongest
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nacional Potosi Compare

Top Goalscorer Rojas J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

The Strongest Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional Potosi 36 / 100
The Strongest 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacional Potosi The Strongest

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacional Potosi's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: The Strongest conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Nacional Potosi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nacional Potosi VS The Strongest
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
GV San Jose-
TBD-
Nacional Potosi4
Oriente Petrolero2
Guabira-
TBD-
Aurora3
The Strongest4
Bolivar-
TBD-
San Antonio Bulo Bulo4
Always Ready3
Real Oruro-
TBD-
Blooming3
Club Universitario de Vinto1
Quarter-finals
GV San Jose3
Nacional Potosi4
Guabira4
The Strongest5
Bolivar9
San Antonio Bulo Bulo1
Real Oruro3
Blooming4
Semi-finals
Nacional Potosi3
The Strongest1
Bolivar6
Blooming1
Final
Nacional Potosi4
Bolivar3