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Nacional Potosi vs The Strongest Prediction & H2H Stats

Bolivia Bolivia

Division Profesional Estadio Víctor Agustín Ugarte, Potosí
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Tobar T.
Assist: Baldomar O.
23' Event
Torrico A.
Assist: Nunez M.
27'
Saucedo W.

AI Match Summary

The Division Profesional game between Nacional Potosi and The Strongest finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward The Strongest.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Nacional Potosi
35%
Draws
45%
The Strongest
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: The Strongest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and The Strongest come out ahead of Nacional Potosi on wins alone.
  • Model gives Nacional Potosi a 20% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Nacional Potosi Clean Sheet 15%
The Strongest Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacional Potosi The Strongest
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 18
Draws 5 8
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.86 2
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 Division Profesional
Nacional Potosi vs The Strongest
2:3
Mar 4, 2026 Club Friendly
The Strongest vs Nacional Potosi
5:1
Mar 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Nacional Potosi vs The Strongest
2:0
Dec 18, 2025 Copa Pacena
Nacional Potosi vs The Strongest
1:0
Dec 16, 2025 Copa Pacena
The Strongest vs Nacional Potosi
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nacional Potosi Compare

Top Goalscorer Tobar T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Torrico A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

The Strongest Compare

Top Goalscorer Arrascaita J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Estacio A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional Potosi 75 / 100
The Strongest 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacional Potosi The Strongest

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nacional Potosi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacional Potosi found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

The Strongest let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Nacional Potosi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nacional Potosi VS The Strongest
2.88 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacional Potosi

(Home)
30 Sept
Tomayapo
1 : 1
Nacional Potosi
25 Sept
Nacional Potosi
9 : 0
Always Ready
22 Sept
Nacional Potosi
0 : 1
Real Potosi
20 Sept
Real Potosi
2 : 2
Nacional Potosi
16 Sept
Nacional Potosi
0 : 4
Always Ready
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The Strongest

(Away)
01 Oct
Oriente Petrolero
1 : 1
The Strongest
26 Sept
The Strongest
2 : 1
Guabira
20 Sept
The Strongest
1 : 1
Bolivar
15 Sept
Academia del Balompie
1 : 2
The Strongest
12 Sept
The Strongest
5 : 0
Real Oruro
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Always Ready 20 13 6 1 47:13 45
2 Bolivar 20 14 3 3 54:22 45
3 The Strongest 20 12 6 2 39:22 42
4 Real Potosi 20 8 8 4 27:14 32
5 Oriente Petrolero 20 9 3 8 36:27 30
6 Aurora 20 7 9 4 31:27 30
7 Guabira 20 8 5 7 32:39 29
8 Blooming 20 6 9 5 30:22 27
9 Nacional Potosi 20 8 3 9 30:28 27
10 Independiente 20 7 4 9 27:35 25
11 Real Oruro 20 6 3 11 32:50 21
12 Academia del Balompie 20 6 2 12 31:45 20
13 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 20 6 2 12 21:40 20
14 Club Universitario de Vinto 20 5 3 12 26:39 18
15 Tomayapo 20 4 4 12 15:39 16
16 GV San Jose 20 2 8 10 21:37 14
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division Profesional (Relegation)