Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nacional Potosi vs The Strongest

Bolivia Bolivia

Division Profesional Estadio Víctor Agustín Ugarte, Potosí
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Tobar T.
Assist: Baldomar O.
23' Event
Torrico A.
Assist: Nunez M.
27'
Saucedo W.

AI Match Summary

The Division Profesional game between Nacional Potosi and The Strongest finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward The Strongest.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Nacional Potosi
30%
Draws
47%
The Strongest
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: The Strongest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Nacional Potosi have managed 1.47 goals a game lately — The Strongest are scoring more at 1.68.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Division Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Nacional Potosi Clean Sheet 17%
The Strongest Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacional Potosi The Strongest
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 15 15
Draws 5 8
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.47 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 Division Profesional
Nacional Potosi vs The Strongest
2:3
Mar 4, 2026 Club Friendly
The Strongest vs Nacional Potosi
5:1
Mar 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Nacional Potosi vs The Strongest
2:0
Dec 18, 2025 Copa Pacena
Nacional Potosi vs The Strongest
1:0
Dec 16, 2025 Copa Pacena
The Strongest vs Nacional Potosi
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nacional Potosi Compare

Top Goalscorer Tobar T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Torrico A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

The Strongest Compare

Top Goalscorer Arrascaita J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Estacio A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional Potosi 36 / 100
The Strongest 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacional Potosi The Strongest

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick The Strongest Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:6
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacional Potosi found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (34 games).

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Defensive concern: The Strongest conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Nacional Potosi has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nacional Potosi VS The Strongest
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacional Potosi

(Home)
08 Aug
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
2 : 1
Nacional Potosi
05 Aug
Nacional Potosi
2 : 3
The Strongest
02 Aug
Oriente Petrolero
1 : 0
Nacional Potosi
26 Jul
Nacional Potosi
4 : 1
Tomayapo
20 Jul
Nacional Potosi
1 : 4
Real Oruro
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The Strongest

(Away)
08 Aug
The Strongest
1 : 2
Independiente
05 Aug
Nacional Potosi
2 : 3
The Strongest
31 Jul
The Strongest
1 : 1
Aurora
26 Jul
Blooming
1 : 1
The Strongest
19 Jul
GV San Jose
0 : 0
The Strongest
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Always Ready 14 10 3 1 31:8 33
2 Bolivar 14 8 3 3 32:15 27
3 The Strongest 14 7 6 1 21:14 27
4 Real Potosi 14 6 5 3 21:10 23
5 Aurora 14 5 7 2 23:19 22
6 Guabira 14 6 3 5 23:26 21
7 Oriente Petrolero 14 6 2 6 22:18 20
8 Independiente 14 5 4 5 21:21 19
9 Blooming 14 4 6 4 17:16 18
10 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 14 5 2 7 17:24 17
11 Real Oruro 14 5 2 7 25:35 17
12 Academia del Balompie 14 5 1 8 24:29 16
13 Nacional Potosi 14 4 3 7 20:21 15
14 GV San Jose 14 2 6 6 14:21 12
15 Tomayapo 15 3 3 9 11:31 12
16 Club Universitario de Vinto 15 3 2 10 17:31 11
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division Profesional (Relegation)