Sport Picks
Nacional Potosi vs Tomayapo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bolivia
Division Profesional Estadio Víctor Agustín Ugarte, Potosí 
Match Events
15'
15'
Tobar T.
Assist: Nunez M.
20'
20'
Eguez R.
26'
26'
Sub
Eguez R. In: Ruan Costa
Out: Eguez R.
AI Match Summary
Nacional Potosi in this Division Profesional matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nacional Potosi.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nacional Potosi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Tomayapo haven't matched Nacional Potosi's recent run of results.
- Model gives Nacional Potosi a 47% chance of winning this.
- Regular Division Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Nacional Potosi here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Nacional Potosi Clean Sheet 68%
Tomayapo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nacional Potosi | Tomayapo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 0.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 2.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 30, 2026 Copa Pacena
Tomayapo vs Nacional Potosi
1:1
Sep 3, 2026 Copa Pacena
Nacional Potosi vs Tomayapo
5:1
Jul 26, 2026 Division Profesional
Nacional Potosi vs Tomayapo
4:1
Dec 14, 2025 Division Profesional
Nacional Potosi vs Tomayapo
1:0
Jul 22, 2025 Division Profesional
Tomayapo vs Nacional Potosi
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nacional Potosi Compare
Top Goalscorer Tobar T.
2 Goals Assists Leader Medina K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19
Tomayapo Compare
Top Goalscorer Eguez R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nacional Potosi 95 / 100
Tomayapo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nacional Potosi Tomayapo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nacional Potosi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 8:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Nacional Potosi scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.
Tomayapo let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Nacional Potosi has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Nacional Potosi VS Tomayapo
2.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Nacional Potosi
(Home) 08 Oct
Always Ready
2 : 3 Nacional Potosi
03 Oct
Nacional Potosi
2 : 0 Real Oruro
30 Sept
Tomayapo
1 : 1 Nacional Potosi
25 Sept
Nacional Potosi
9 : 0 Always Ready
22 Sept
Nacional Potosi
0 : 1 Real Potosi
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Nacional Potosi
2 : 0 Real Oruro
25 Sept
Nacional Potosi
9 : 0 Always Ready
22 Sept
Nacional Potosi
0 : 1 Real Potosi
16 Sept
Nacional Potosi
0 : 4 Always Ready
07 Sept
Nacional Potosi
2 : 1 Blooming
Page 1 of 3
Tomayapo
(Away) 09 Oct
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
0 : 0 Tomayapo
06 Oct
Real Oruro
4 : 0 Tomayapo
03 Oct
Always Ready
4 : 0 Tomayapo
30 Sept
Tomayapo
1 : 1 Nacional Potosi
27 Sept
Tomayapo
2 : 1 Real Oruro
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
0 : 0 Tomayapo
06 Oct
Real Oruro
4 : 0 Tomayapo
03 Oct
Always Ready
4 : 0 Tomayapo
22 Sept
Independiente
5 : 1 Tomayapo
06 Sept
The Strongest
3 : 1 Tomayapo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Always Ready | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 47:13 | 45 |
| 2 | Bolivar | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 54:22 | 45 |
| 3 | The Strongest | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 39:22 | 42 |
| 4 | Real Potosi | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 27:14 | 32 |
| 5 | Oriente Petrolero | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 36:27 | 30 |
| 6 | Aurora | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 31:27 | 30 |
| 7 | Guabira | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 32:39 | 29 |
| 8 | Blooming | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 30:22 | 27 |
| 9 | Nacional Potosi | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 30:28 | 27 |
| 10 | Independiente | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 27:35 | 25 |
| 11 | Real Oruro | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 35:51 | 24 |
| 12 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 21:40 | 21 |
| 13 | Academia del Balompie | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 31:45 | 20 |
| 14 | Club Universitario de Vinto | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 27:42 | 18 |
| 15 | Tomayapo | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 15:39 | 17 |
| 16 | GV San Jose | 20 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 21:37 | 14 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division Profesional (Relegation)
