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Nacional SP W vs CA Juventus W

Brazil Brazil

Paulista Women 2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nacional SP W play CA Juventus W in the Paulista Women 2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, Nacional SP W averaged 0.67 goals scored and 3.27 conceded. CA Juventus W averaged 1.41 goals scored and 2.22 conceded. In past meetings, Nacional SP W won 1, CA Juventus W won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 11, 2020 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Nacional SP W and 2.81 for CA Juventus W. This points to a CA Juventus W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Nacional SP W
21%
Draws
50%
CA Juventus W
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: CA Juventus W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Nacional SP W picked up more points recently compared to CA Juventus W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 2.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31%
Nacional SP W Clean Sheet 10%
CA Juventus W Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacional SP W CA Juventus W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 21 16
Goals Scored 0.67 1.41
Goals Conceded 3.27 2.22
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 11, 2020 Paulista Women
Nacional SP W vs CA Juventus W
2:0
Aug 14, 2010 Paulista Women
CA Juventus W vs Nacional SP W
2:0
May 29, 2010 Paulista Women
Nacional SP W vs CA Juventus W
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional SP W 28 / 100
CA Juventus W 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacional SP W CA Juventus W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: CA Juventus W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nacional SP W attacking → ← attacking CA Juventus W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacional SP W scored in 33% of their last 30 games.

CA Juventus W let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.33 goals.

Nacional SP W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

CA Juventus W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 36
0.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
4.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sao Paulo W540145:312
2Ferroviaria W540128:412
3Palmeiras W531128:310
4Bragantino W521215:77
5Realidade Jovem W51043:323
6Taboao da Serra W50051:710
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Corinthians W550025:115
2Sao Jose W531113:610
3Taubate W52217:88
4Santos W52129:77
5Nacional SP W51042:223
6CA Juventus W50053:150