Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-2, with Nacional Sucre advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
39%
30%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Torre Fuerte carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Torre Fuerte arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Nacional Sucre, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Nacional Sucre Clean Sheet 10%
Torre Fuerte Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nacional Sucre | Torre Fuerte |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 20 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 9 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.13 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.13 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 21, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Torre Fuerte vs Nacional Sucre
2:1
Sep 6, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Nacional Sucre vs Torre Fuerte
3:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nacional Sucre 30 / 100
Torre Fuerte 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nacional Sucre Torre Fuerte
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nacional Sucre's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 20 recent games.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Defensive concern: Torre Fuerte conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
Recent resilience: Nacional Sucre stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Nacional Sucre VS Torre Fuerte
1 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Nacional Sucre
(Home) 27 Sept
Nueva Cliza
0 : 0 Nacional Sucre
21 Sept
Torre Fuerte
2 : 1 Nacional Sucre
15 Sept
Nacional Sucre
2 : 4 Real Potosi
06 Sept
Nacional Sucre
3 : 2 Torre Fuerte
31 Aug
Real Potosi
2 : 0 Nacional Sucre
Page 1 of 4
15 Sept
Nacional Sucre
2 : 4 Real Potosi
06 Sept
Nacional Sucre
3 : 2 Torre Fuerte
24 Aug
Nacional Sucre
1 : 2 Nueva Cliza
04 Nov
Nacional Sucre
1 : 3 Municipal de Tarija
21 Oct
Nacional Sucre
1 : 2 Hiska Nacional
Page 1 of 2
Torre Fuerte
(Away) 26 Oct
1 de Mayo
1 : 2 Torre Fuerte
11 Oct
Torre Fuerte
1 : 3 1 de Mayo
28 Sept
Real Potosi
2 : 0 Torre Fuerte
21 Sept
Torre Fuerte
2 : 1 Nacional Sucre
14 Sept
Torre Fuerte
4 : 2 Nueva Cliza
Page 1 of 6
26 Oct
1 de Mayo
1 : 2 Torre Fuerte
28 Sept
Real Potosi
2 : 0 Torre Fuerte
06 Sept
Nacional Sucre
3 : 2 Torre Fuerte
30 Aug
Nueva Cliza
1 : 0 Torre Fuerte
30 Nov
GV San Jose
5 : 1 Torre Fuerte
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 18:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Rio San Juan | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 13 |
| 3 | Fancesa | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | 7 |
| 4 | C.A. Chocorosi | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3:24 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 de Mayo | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11:2 | 15 |
| 2 | CD Guadalajara | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:8 | 9 |
| 3 | Central Union | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 4 | Ingenieros | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:12 | 6 |
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Potosi | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:5 | 11 |
| 2 | Torre Fuerte | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 9 |
| 3 | Nueva Cliza | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 4 | Nacional Sucre | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Juan FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:5 | 11 |
| 2 | Olympic FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 3 | CD Ingenio | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:11 | 8 |
| 4 | Chaco FC | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7:18 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitario de Sucre | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 26:5 | 18 |
| 2 | Deportivo Shalon | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19:12 | 6 |
| 3 | Libertad FC | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:14 | 6 |
| 4 | 3 de Febrero | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:26 | 6 |
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tiquipaya | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18:5 | 16 |
| 2 | Municipal de Tarija | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16:9 | 10 |
| 3 | Pucarani | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:6 | 9 |
| 4 | Universitario de Pando | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6:31 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams