Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nacional U19 vs Maritimo U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 game between Nacional U19 and Maritimo U19 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nacional U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Nacional U19
35%
Draws
30%
Maritimo U19
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Maritimo U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Nacional U19's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Nacional U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Maritimo U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacional U19 Maritimo U19
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 8 12
Draws 13 9
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.17 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2023 Campeonato Nacional U19
Maritimo U19 vs Nacional U19
0:0
Mar 11, 2023 Campeonato Nacional U19
Nacional U19 vs Maritimo U19
2:1
Jan 7, 2023 Campeonato Nacional U19
Nacional U19 vs Maritimo U19
1:1
Oct 1, 2022 Campeonato Nacional U19
Maritimo U19 vs Nacional U19
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional U19 36 / 100
Maritimo U19 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacional U19 Maritimo U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacional U19 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Nacional U19 scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Maritimo U19 conceded in 68% of 38 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS Maritimo U19
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacional U19

(Home)
27 May
Nacional U19
2 : 2
Academica U19
20 May
Vitoria Setubal U19
1 : 1
Nacional U19
13 May
Maritimo U19
0 : 0
Nacional U19
06 May
Nacional U19
1 : 0
Vilafranquense U19
29 Apr
Casa Pia U19
3 : 3
Nacional U19
Page 1 of 6

Maritimo U19

(Away)
25 May
Maritimo U19
0 : 1
Boavista U19
18 May
Pacos Ferreira U19
1 : 0
Maritimo U19
11 May
Maritimo U19
3 : 1
Chaves U19
04 May
Vizela U19
2 : 3
Maritimo U19
27 Apr
Maritimo U19
0 : 1
Gil Vicente U19
Page 1 of 8