Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nacional U19 vs Vilafranquense U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nacional U19 in this Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nacional U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Nacional U19
35%
Draws
0%
Vilafranquense U19
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nacional U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Vilafranquense U19 haven't matched Nacional U19's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Nacional U19's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Nacional U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Vilafranquense U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacional U19 Vilafranquense U19
Matches Played 38 36
Wins 12 4
Draws 16 10
Losses 10 22
Goals Scored 1.21 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2023 Campeonato Nacional U19
Nacional U19 vs Vilafranquense U19
1:0
Mar 4, 2023 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vilafranquense U19 vs Nacional U19
1:1
Dec 8, 2022 Campeonato Nacional U19
Nacional U19 vs Vilafranquense U19
5:1
Sep 10, 2022 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vilafranquense U19 vs Nacional U19
3:0
May 7, 2022 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vilafranquense U19 vs Nacional U19
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional U19 85 / 100
Vilafranquense U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacional U19 Vilafranquense U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nacional U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vilafranquense U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 36 matches.

Nacional U19 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Vilafranquense U19 registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Nacional U19 found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (38 games).

Scoring Trends

Nacional U19 VS Vilafranquense U19
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacional U19

(Home)
27 May
Nacional U19
2 : 2
Academica U19
20 May
Vitoria Setubal U19
1 : 1
Nacional U19
13 May
Maritimo U19
0 : 0
Nacional U19
06 May
Nacional U19
1 : 0
Vilafranquense U19
29 Apr
Casa Pia U19
3 : 3
Nacional U19
Page 1 of 8

Vilafranquense U19

(Away)
27 May
Vilafranquense U19
0 : 4
Belenenses U19
20 May
Torreense U19
1 : 0
Vilafranquense U19
13 May
Vilafranquense U19
0 : 1
Academica U19
06 May
Nacional U19
1 : 0
Vilafranquense U19
29 Apr
Vilafranquense U19
1 : 3
Maritimo U19
Page 1 of 8