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Nacional vs Leixoes

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Club Friendly
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AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Nacional and Leixoes finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Nacional
15%
Draws
85%
Leixoes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leixoes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Nacional haven't matched Leixoes's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Leixoes taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Nacional Clean Sheet 13%
Leixoes Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacional Leixoes
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 17
Draws 6 6
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 0.93 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Nacional vs Leixoes
3:3
Feb 28, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Leixoes vs Nacional
1:1
Aug 28, 2023 Liga Portugal 2
Nacional vs Leixoes
3:1
Feb 19, 2023 Liga Portugal 2
Nacional vs Leixoes
1:2
Aug 28, 2022 Liga Portugal 2
Leixoes vs Nacional
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional 10 / 100
Leixoes 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacional Leixoes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leixoes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Leixoes let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Nacional scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Leixoes's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Nacional VS Leixoes
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacional

(Home)
19 Sept
Nacional
0 : 4
Famalicao
12 Sept
Nacional
1 : 3
Alverca
05 Sept
Sporting CP
2 : 0
Nacional
30 Aug
Nacional
2 : 3
Estrela da Amadora
23 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes
1 : 0
Nacional
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Leixoes

(Away)
20 Sept
Cinfaes
0 : 4
Leixoes
11 Sept
Torreense
0 : 0
Leixoes
06 Sept
Leixoes
3 : 1
Amarante FC
29 Aug
Portimonense
0 : 2
Leixoes
22 Aug
Leixoes
2 : 4
Leiria
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