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Nacional VRB W vs Betim FC W

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro Women 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Maciel M.
74' Event
Beiral J.
90' Event
Julia Moreira
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Nacional VRB W host Betim FC W in the Mineiro Women 2024. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Betim FC W have shipped 3.17 goals a game lately, while Nacional VRB W have conceded 3.25 and scored 0.88. Head-to-head, Nacional VRB W have won 1 to Betim FC W's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 28, 2024, ending 2:1. The numbers (2.02 xG vs 2.21) point toward Nacional VRB W. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Nacional VRB W
6%
Draws
90%
Betim FC W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Betim FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Nacional VRB W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Betim FC W.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Betim FC W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Mineiro Women 2024 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 94%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 94%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Nacional VRB W Clean Sheet 10%
Betim FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacional VRB W Betim FC W
Matches Played 10 6
Wins 3 1
Draws 0 0
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 0.88 1.17
Goals Conceded 3.25 3.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.25 3.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2024 Mineiro Women
Nacional VRB W vs Betim FC W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nacional VRB W Compare

Top Goalscorer Maciel M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Betim FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Beiral J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.65

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacional VRB W 10 / 100
Betim FC W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacional VRB W Betim FC W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BET Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacional VRB W scored in 40% of their last 10 games.

Betim FC W let in goals in 100% of their last 6 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Nacional VRB W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Betim FC W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nacional VRB W VS Betim FC W
0.88 Goals Scored 1.17
3.25 Goals Conceded 3.17
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 67%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cruzeiro W651034:116
2America Mineiro W642019:214
3Itabirito W640210:512
4Nacional VRB W63037:199
5Atletico-MG W621310:87
6Betim FC W61057:193
7Valadares W60062:350