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Nacka FC vs BK Ljungsbro

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Hauzenberger T.
43' Event
Khalil A.
52' Event
Karlsson R.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Svealand 2024 game between Nacka FC and BK Ljungsbro finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nacka FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Nacka FC
28%
Draws
50%
BK Ljungsbro
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: BK Ljungsbro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nacka FC come out ahead of BK Ljungsbro on wins alone.
  • Model gives BK Ljungsbro a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Nacka FC Clean Sheet 15%
BK Ljungsbro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacka FC BK Ljungsbro
Matches Played 37 26
Wins 13 5
Draws 4 7
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 1.75 0
Goals Conceded 2.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Nacka FC vs BK Ljungsbro
5:1
Apr 21, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
BK Ljungsbro vs Nacka FC
4:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nacka FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Hauzenberger T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Khalil A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

BK Ljungsbro Compare

Top Goalscorer Lindsten N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacka FC 23 / 100
BK Ljungsbro 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacka FC BK Ljungsbro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LJU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BK Ljungsbro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 26 matches.

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Nacka FC scored in 78% of their last 37 games.

Away concern: BK Ljungsbro has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nacka FC VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Haninge26213286:3366
2Sylvia26156551:2851
3Arameisk-Syrianska26144852:3946
4Nykopings26136752:4245
5Atvidaberg261241047:4140
6Syrianska26117842:4140
7Huddinge261041239:3334
8Sleipner26971040:4834
9Enskede261031338:4133
10Nacka FC26951241:4532
11Smedby26851338:4329
12IFK Eskilstuna26671344:6125
13BK Ljungsbro26571435:5922
14Mjolby AI FF26422033:8414