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Nacka FC vs Nykopings Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Holm M.
70'
Salmon J.
90' Event
Alp A.

AI Match Summary

Nykopings in this Division 2 - Södra Svealand matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nykopings.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Nacka FC
20%
Draws
47%
Nykopings
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nykopings

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nykopings lately — more wins on the board than Nacka FC.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Nykopings taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Nykopings here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Nacka FC Clean Sheet 20%
Nykopings Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nacka FC Nykopings
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 15
Draws 3 4
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 1.24 1.55
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 25, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Nykopings vs Nacka FC
4:1
May 29, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Nacka FC vs Nykopings
0:2
Sep 8, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Nykopings vs Nacka FC
3:2
May 10, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Nacka FC vs Nykopings
1:4
Sep 10, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Nykopings vs Nacka FC
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nacka FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Nykopings Compare

Top Goalscorer Holm M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alp A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nacka FC 16 / 100
Nykopings 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nacka FC Nykopings

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nykopings Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Nacka FC scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Nykopings conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Nacka FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nacka FC VS Nykopings
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nacka FC

(Home)
04 Oct
Nacka FC
1 : 4
Karlslund
26 Sept
Fittja IF
1 : 2
Nacka FC
19 Sept
Nacka FC
1 : 0
Ragsved
12 Sept
Sleipner
1 : 0
Nacka FC
05 Sept
Nacka FC
1 : 1
Smedby
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Nykopings

(Away)
02 Oct
Smedby
1 : 1
Nykopings
26 Sept
Nykopings
1 : 0
Syrianska
19 Sept
Orebro Syrianska
1 : 0
Nykopings
13 Sept
Nykopings
3 : 0
Eker Orebro
05 Sept
Lindo FF
0 : 3
Nykopings
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Farsta 24 14 4 6 49:26 46
2 Sleipner 24 13 6 5 49:36 45
3 Forward 24 13 5 6 45:29 44
4 Nykopings 24 13 4 7 39:23 43
5 Haninge 24 13 4 7 58:45 43
6 Ragsved 24 11 6 7 45:37 39
7 Smedby 24 10 6 8 41:33 36
8 Fittja IF 24 10 3 11 37:38 33
9 Karlslund 24 8 7 9 37:38 31
10 Orebro Syrianska 24 8 4 12 27:29 28
11 Syrianska 24 7 5 12 38:52 26
12 Nacka FC 24 7 3 14 26:45 24
13 Lindo FF 24 6 2 16 32:50 20
14 Eker Orebro 24 4 3 17 29:71 15
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Svealand (Relegation)