Sport Picks

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Nadi vs Ba

Fiji Fiji

Premier League
1 - 1
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Naidu P.
89' Event
Abana J.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Nadi and Ba finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Nadi
15%
Draws
58%
Ba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ba come out ahead of Nadi on wins alone.
  • Ba are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Nadi Clean Sheet 10%
Ba Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nadi Ba
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 10 20
Draws 8 7
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 1.55 2.78
Goals Conceded 1.79 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Premier League
Ba vs Nadi
1:1
Mar 8, 2026 Premier League
Nadi vs Ba
1:1
Jun 15, 2025 Premier League
Ba vs Nadi
2:2
May 18, 2025 Premier League
Nadi vs Ba
1:2
Sep 15, 2024 Premier League
Ba vs Nadi
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nadi Compare

Top Goalscorer Abana J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Ba Compare

Top Goalscorer Naidu P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nadi 10 / 100
Ba 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nadi Ba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nadi found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (33 games).

Defensive concern: Ba conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Nadi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nadi VS Ba
1.13 Goals Scored 2.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nadi

(Home)
16 Aug
Lautoka
2 : 1
Nadi
09 Aug
Nadi
3 : 2
Nadroga
31 Jul
Nasinu
2 : 3
Nadi
26 Jul
Nadi
1 : 1
Rewa
19 Jul
Tailevu Naitasiri
1 : 0
Nadi
Page 1 of 7

Ba

(Away)
29 Aug
Ba
1 : 0
Rewa
09 Aug
Ba
6 : 0
Tailevu Naitasiri
01 Aug
Labasa
1 : 2
Ba
26 Jul
Ba
4 : 1
Lautoka
19 Jul
Ba
1 : 0
Navua
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ba 18 13 3 2 54:14 42
2 Labasa 18 11 5 2 44:21 38
3 Rewa 18 10 2 6 39:17 32
4 Lautoka 18 7 5 6 37:35 26
5 Navua 18 7 4 7 25:23 25
6 Suva 18 6 5 7 38:28 23
7 Nadi 18 6 3 9 25:29 21
8 Nasinu 18 6 3 9 27:42 21
9 Nadroga 18 3 4 11 22:50 13
10 Tailevu Naitasiri 18 2 4 12 20:72 10
Promotion - OFC Champions League (Preliminary)