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Nadi vs Suva

Fiji Fiji

Premier League
2 - 1
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Batiratu T.
Own Goal
40' Event
Shabez M.
69' Event
Kubu S.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Nadi and Suva finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nadi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Nadi
20%
Draws
40%
Suva
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Nadi have managed 1.5 goals a game lately — Suva are scoring more at 1.7.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Nadi Clean Sheet 17%
Suva Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nadi Suva
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 7 11
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Premier League
Nadi vs Suva
2:1
Apr 12, 2026 Premier League
Suva vs Nadi
2:0
Jul 13, 2025 Premier League
Suva vs Nadi
0:0
Mar 2, 2025 Premier League
Nadi vs Suva
2:3
Sep 29, 2024 Premier League
Suva vs Nadi
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nadi Compare

Top Goalscorer Shabez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Suva Compare

Top Goalscorer Kubu S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nadi 36 / 100
Suva 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nadi Suva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Suva Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nadi scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Suva has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Nadi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nadi VS Suva
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Nadi

(Home)
16 Aug
Lautoka
2 : 1
Nadi
09 Aug
Nadi
3 : 2
Nadroga
31 Jul
Nasinu
2 : 3
Nadi
26 Jul
Nadi
1 : 1
Rewa
19 Jul
Tailevu Naitasiri
1 : 0
Nadi
Page 1 of 6

Suva

(Away)
16 Aug
Suva
7 : 0
Nadroga
09 Aug
Suva
3 : 2
Nasinu
02 Aug
Rewa
4 : 0
Suva
26 Jul
Suva
2 : 3
Tailevu Naitasiri
18 Jul
Labasa
2 : 2
Suva
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ba 18 13 3 2 54:14 42
2 Labasa 18 11 5 2 44:21 38
3 Rewa 18 10 2 6 39:17 32
4 Lautoka 18 7 5 6 37:35 26
5 Navua 18 7 4 7 25:23 25
6 Suva 18 6 5 7 38:28 23
7 Nadi 18 6 3 9 25:29 21
8 Nasinu 18 6 3 9 27:42 21
9 Nadroga 18 3 4 11 22:50 13
10 Tailevu Naitasiri 18 2 4 12 20:72 10
Promotion - OFC Champions League (Preliminary)