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Naesby vs Fredensborg

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
El-Quaz Z.
77' Event
Host K.
79' Event
Mikkelsen M. G.

AI Match Summary

The 2nd Division - Group 1 2016/2017 game between Naesby and Fredensborg finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Naesby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Naesby
20%
Draws
40%
Fredensborg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Fredensborg haven't matched Naesby's recent run of results.
  • Naesby are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Naesby Clean Sheet 68%
Fredensborg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naesby Fredensborg
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 20 5
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 2.09 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2017 2nd Division - Group 1
Naesby vs Fredensborg
2:1
Apr 22, 2017 2nd Division - Group 1
Fredensborg vs Naesby
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naesby Compare

Top Goalscorer Host K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mikkelsen M. G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.99

Fredensborg Compare

Top Goalscorer El-Quaz Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naesby 50 / 100
Fredensborg 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naesby Fredensborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naesby Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fredensborg has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Naesby scored in 77% of their last 35 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Fredensborg lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Naesby VS -
2.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Naesby

(Home)
19 Sept
Naesby
1 : 1
Helsingor
16 Sept
Naesby
2 : 3
Horsens
13 Sept
ASA Aarhus
1 : 0
Naesby
05 Sept
Naesby
4 : 3
Horsholm-Usserod
29 Aug
Holbaek
3 : 2
Naesby
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Fredensborg

(Away)
05 Aug
Fredensborg
1 : 3
Hellerup
05 Sept
Fredensborg
1 : 2
Hellerup
08 Aug
Ringsted
0 : 1
Fredensborg
17 Jun
Naesby
2 : 1
Fredensborg
10 Jun
Fredensborg
2 : 2
FC Sydvest 05
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