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Stadium Background

Naesby vs Vanlose

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division 2025/2026 ALPI Arena Naesby, Odense
Naesby Logo

Naesby

1 - 1
FT
Vanlose Logo

Vanlose

Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Fechtenburg J.
31' Event
Espersen S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3rd Division 2025/2026 game between Naesby and Vanlose finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Naesby
20%
Draws
45%
Vanlose
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vanlose

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Naesby come out ahead of Vanlose on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Naesby's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular 3rd Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Naesby Clean Sheet 11%
Vanlose Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naesby Vanlose
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 2.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 3rd Division
Vanlose vs Naesby
3:0
May 25, 2026 3rd Division
Vanlose vs Naesby
0:2
Apr 25, 2026 3rd Division
Naesby vs Vanlose
1:1
Apr 2, 2026 3rd Division
Vanlose vs Naesby
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 3rd Division
Naesby vs Vanlose
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naesby Compare

Top Goalscorer Fechtenburg J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Vanlose Compare

Top Goalscorer Espersen S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naesby 38 / 100
Vanlose 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naesby Vanlose

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naesby Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naesby's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Vanlose conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Naesby remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Naesby VS Vanlose
2.13 Goals Scored 2.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Naesby

(Home)
05 Sept
Naesby
4 : 3
Horsholm-Usserod
29 Aug
Holbaek
3 : 2
Naesby
25 Aug
Munkebo BK
0 : 5
Naesby
22 Aug
Ishoj IF
1 : 5
Naesby
15 Aug
Naesby
0 : 0
Bronshoj
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Vanlose

(Away)
09 Sept
Vanlose
2 : 1
Hillerod
05 Sept
Holstebro
1 : 2
Vanlose
29 Aug
Vanlose
2 : 2
BK Frem
25 Aug
Allerod
1 : 4
Vanlose
22 Aug
Vanlose
2 : 0
Ringsted
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nykobing 32 26 5 1 80:23 83
2 Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 32 16 7 9 42:32 55
3 Naesby 32 16 5 11 63:50 53
4 Bronshoj 32 11 10 11 48:57 43
5 Vanlose 32 11 7 14 37:44 40
6 Horsholm-Usserod 32 9 6 17 47:63 33
Promotion - 2nd Division (Main)