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Naestved HG W vs Thisted FC W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Denmark Denmark

B-Liga Women
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Naestved HG W host Thisted FC W in the B-Liga Women. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Naestved HG W have averaged 1.77 scored and 1.67 conceded recently, against Thisted FC W's 1.83 scored and 1.86 conceded. Past meetings favor Thisted FC W slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 26, 2026, ending 0:4. xG projections (2.50 - 1.94) back Thisted FC W to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Naestved HG W
15%
Draws
40%
Thisted FC W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Naestved HG W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Naestved HG W have managed 1.77 goals a game lately — Thisted FC W are scoring more at 1.83.
  • Model gives Naestved HG W a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Naestved HG W Clean Sheet 10%
Thisted FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naestved HG W Thisted FC W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 3 4
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.77 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 B-Liga Women
Thisted FC W vs Naestved HG W
0:4
Oct 4, 2025 B-Liga Women
Naestved HG W vs Thisted FC W
1:2
Aug 23, 2025 B-Liga Women
Thisted FC W vs Naestved HG W
0:2
Nov 9, 2024 B-Liga Women
Thisted FC W vs Naestved HG W
1:0
Sep 14, 2024 B-Liga Women
Naestved HG W vs Thisted FC W
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naestved HG W 83 / 100
Thisted FC W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naestved HG W Thisted FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naestved HG W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Naestved HG W scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Thisted FC W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Naestved HG W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Naestved HG W VS Thisted FC W
2 Goals Scored 2.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Naestved HG W

(Home)
09 Oct
Naestved HG W
3 : 0
Aalborg W
03 Oct
Aalborg W
1 : 4
Naestved HG W
26 Sept
Thisted FC W
0 : 4
Naestved HG W
19 Sept
Naestved HG W
1 : 1
Sundby W
12 Sept
B93 W
2 : 1
Naestved HG W
Page 1 of 6

Thisted FC W

(Away)
04 Oct
Esbjerg W
1 : 3
Thisted FC W
26 Sept
Thisted FC W
0 : 4
Naestved HG W
19 Sept
B93 W
3 : 2
Thisted FC W
12 Sept
Thisted FC W
3 : 2
Osterbro IF W
06 Sept
Aalborg W
3 : 6
Thisted FC W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 B93 W 8 6 0 2 16:10 18
2 Sundby W 8 5 2 1 18:10 17
3 Osterbro IF W 8 5 1 2 20:10 16
4 Naestved HG W 8 4 1 3 16:8 13
5 Thisted FC W 8 4 1 3 23:23 13
6 Viborg W 8 2 3 3 9:10 9
7 Aalborg W 8 1 1 6 9:27 4
8 Esbjerg W 8 0 1 7 10:23 1
Promotion - B-Liga Women (Promotion)
Relegation - B-Liga Women (Relegation)