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Naestved HG W vs Thisted FC W

Denmark Denmark

B-Liga Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Krag-Andersen K.
Assist: Langskov Nielsen M.
77' Event
Plasmann M.
Assist: Mikkelsen M.
81' Event
Mikkelsen M.
Assist: Plasmann M.

AI Match Summary

The B-Liga Women 2025/2026 game between Naestved HG W and Thisted FC W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Thisted FC W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Naestved HG W
6%
Draws
4%
Thisted FC W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Naestved HG W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Thisted FC W have managed 1 goals a game lately — Naestved HG W are scoring more at 1.5.
  • Naestved HG W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular B-Liga Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Thisted FC W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Naestved HG W Clean Sheet 18%
Thisted FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naestved HG W Thisted FC W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 3 4
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2025 B-Liga Women
Naestved HG W vs Thisted FC W
1:2
Aug 23, 2025 B-Liga Women
Thisted FC W vs Naestved HG W
0:2
Nov 9, 2024 B-Liga Women
Thisted FC W vs Naestved HG W
1:0
Sep 14, 2024 B-Liga Women
Naestved HG W vs Thisted FC W
0:2
May 4, 2024 A-Liga Women
Thisted FC W vs Naestved HG W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naestved HG W Compare

Top Goalscorer Krag-Andersen K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Thisted FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Plasmann M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mikkelsen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naestved HG W 85 / 100
Thisted FC W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naestved HG W Thisted FC W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naestved HG W scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Thisted FC W let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Naestved HG W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Naestved HG W VS Thisted FC W
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1ASA Aarhus W14121152:837
2FC Copenhagen W14112141:1035
3Thisted FC W1472521:1323
4Osterbro IF W1463512:1821
5Aalborg W1442817:3414
6Naestved HG W1441918:2813
7B93 W1441921:4013
8Esbjerg W14201212:436