Sport Picks

Denmark

2nd Division 2025/2026

Naestved IF

0 - 2

Thisted FC

Our Tip

Match Events

Lauritsen M.

67'

Gyldenlove Lyebalk M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Thisted FC in this 2nd Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Thisted FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Naestved IF

Draws

Thisted FC

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Naestved IF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Thisted FC have won more games recently than Naestved IF.
Naestved IF are the model's pick here, at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%

Naestved IF Clean Sheet 68%

Thisted FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Naestved IF	Thisted FC
Matches Played	25	28
Wins	9	10
Draws	9	4
Losses	7	14
Goals Scored	1.38	0.75
Goals Conceded	1.5	2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 2nd Division

Naestved IF vs Thisted FC

Possession: 54% - 57% Cards: 2 - 1

0:2

Apr 11, 2026 2nd Division

Thisted FC vs Naestved IF

Possession: 40% - 55% Cards: 2 - 2

2:0

Nov 9, 2025 2nd Division

Thisted FC vs Naestved IF

Possession: 53% - 53% Cards: 2 - 3

1:2

Sep 14, 2025 2nd Division

Naestved IF vs Thisted FC

Possession: 44% - 48% Cards: 4 - 0

0:2

Mar 9, 2025 2nd Division

Naestved IF vs Thisted FC

Possession: 41% - 41% Cards: 0 - 0

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naestved IF Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Thisted FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Lauritsen M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Gyldenlove Lyebalk M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naestved IF 95 / 100

Thisted FC 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Naestved IF Thisted FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAE Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naestved IF found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (25 games).

Thisted FC let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Naestved IF stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Naestved IF VS Thisted FC

1.38 Goals Scored 0.75

1.5 Goals Conceded 2

75% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	AB Copenhagen	32	23	2	7	81:34	71
2	Vendsyssel FF	32	20	3	9	57:37	63
3	Naestved IF	32	16	6	10	46:42	54
4	Roskilde	32	14	7	11	51:38	49
5	Thisted FC	32	14	6	12	40:33	48
6	Hellerup	32	12	2	18	39:68	38