Sport Picks

Denmark

2nd Division 2025/2026

Hellerup

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Naestved IF play Hellerup in the 2nd Division 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Naestved IF averaged 1.26 goals scored and 1.59 conceded. Hellerup averaged 1.25 goals scored and 2.36 conceded. In past meetings, Naestved IF won 2, Hellerup won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 13, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Naestved IF and 1.19 for Hellerup. This points to a Naestved IF double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%

Naestved IF

15%

Draws

37%

Hellerup

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Naestved IF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Naestved IF picked up more points recently compared to Hellerup.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 85%

Over 2.5 Goals 68%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%

Naestved IF Clean Sheet 20%

Hellerup Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Naestved IF	Hellerup
Matches Played	27	28
Wins	8	8
Draws	10	2
Losses	9	18
Goals Scored	1.26	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.59	2.36
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 2nd Division

Naestved IF vs Hellerup

Possession: 50% - 57% Cards: 3 - 0

1:2

May 1, 2026 2nd Division

Hellerup vs Naestved IF

Possession: 51% - 52% Cards: 3 - 1

1:2

Apr 6, 2026 2nd Division

Naestved IF vs Hellerup

Possession: 49% - 41% Cards: 0 - 2

2:1

Aug 8, 2025 2nd Division

Hellerup vs Naestved IF

Possession: 50% - 57% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Feb 28, 2025 Club Friendly

Hellerup vs Naestved IF

Possession: 57% - 52% Cards: 1 - 0

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naestved IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Elmelund T.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

Hellerup Compare

Top Goalscorer Sogaard A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Bagou D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naestved IF 47 / 100

Hellerup 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Naestved IF Hellerup

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Naestved IF or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20%

2.50

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.5%

1.61

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Naestved IF attacking → ← attacking Hellerup

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naestved IF scored in 67% of their last 27 games.

Hellerup let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Naestved IF went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Hellerup lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 26

0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	AB Copenhagen	32	23	2	7	81:34	71
2	Vendsyssel FF	32	20	3	9	57:37	63
3	Naestved IF	32	16	6	10	46:42	54
4	Roskilde	32	14	7	11	51:38	49
5	Thisted FC	32	14	6	12	40:33	48
6	Hellerup	32	12	2	18	39:68	38