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Naestved IF vs Hellerup

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division 2025/2026
Naestved IF Logo

Naestved IF

1 - 2
FT
Hellerup Logo

Hellerup

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Elmelund T.
74' Event
Sogaard A.
90' Event
Bagou D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 2nd Division 2025/2026 game between Naestved IF and Hellerup finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hellerup.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Naestved IF
20%
Draws
22%
Hellerup
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Naestved IF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Naestved IF come out ahead of Hellerup on wins alone.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Naestved IF taking it.
  • Regular 2nd Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Naestved IF Clean Sheet 20%
Hellerup Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naestved IF Hellerup
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 7 3
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 1.44 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.3 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 2nd Division
Naestved IF vs Hellerup
1:1
May 13, 2026 2nd Division
Naestved IF vs Hellerup
1:2
May 1, 2026 2nd Division
Hellerup vs Naestved IF
1:2
Apr 6, 2026 2nd Division
Naestved IF vs Hellerup
2:1
Aug 8, 2025 2nd Division
Hellerup vs Naestved IF
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naestved IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Elmelund T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Hellerup Compare

Top Goalscorer Sogaard A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bagou D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naestved IF 85 / 100
Hellerup 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naestved IF Hellerup

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naestved IF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naestved IF found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

Hellerup let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Naestved IF went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Naestved IF VS Hellerup
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Naestved IF

(Home)
18 Sept
Fremad Amager
1 : 1
Naestved IF
13 Sept
Naestved IF
3 : 1
Thisted FC
04 Sept
Boldklubben 1893
1 : 1
Naestved IF
30 Aug
Skive
1 : 2
Naestved IF
23 Aug
Naestved IF
0 : 2
VSK Aarhus
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Hellerup

(Away)
18 Sept
Nykobing
3 : 0
Hellerup
15 Sept
Hellerup
0 : 5
Esbjerg
11 Sept
Fremad Amager
2 : 1
Hellerup
05 Sept
Hellerup
2 : 1
Brabrand
29 Aug
Hellerup
1 : 2
Middelfart
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AB Copenhagen 32 23 2 7 81:34 71
2 Vendsyssel FF 32 20 3 9 57:37 63
3 Naestved IF 32 16 6 10 46:42 54
4 Roskilde 32 14 7 11 51:38 49
5 Thisted FC 32 14 6 12 40:33 48
6 Hellerup 32 12 2 18 39:68 38
Promotion - 1st Division (Main)