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Naestved IF vs Middelfart

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division
Sun, Sep 27, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Naestved IF host Middelfart in the 2nd Division. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Naestved IF at 1.3 goals for, 1.17 against; Middelfart at 1.52 for, 2.14 against. Head-to-head, Naestved IF have won 2 to Middelfart's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on May 24, 2025, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.38 - 1.63) back Naestved IF to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Naestved IF
35%
Draws
28%
Middelfart
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Naestved IF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Naestved IF lately — more wins on the board than Middelfart.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular 2nd Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Naestved IF Clean Sheet 14%
Middelfart Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naestved IF Middelfart
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 10 4
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.3 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.17 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2025 2nd Division
Middelfart vs Naestved IF
3:0
May 11, 2025 2nd Division
Naestved IF vs Middelfart
0:1
Nov 16, 2024 2nd Division
Middelfart vs Naestved IF
0:1
Sep 22, 2024 2nd Division
Naestved IF vs Middelfart
0:2
Oct 23, 2021 2nd Division
Middelfart vs Naestved IF
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naestved IF 30 / 100
Middelfart 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naestved IF Middelfart

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naestved IF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naestved IF found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Middelfart's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Naestved IF remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Naestved IF VS Middelfart
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Naestved IF

(Home)
18 Sept
Fremad Amager
1 : 1
Naestved IF
13 Sept
Naestved IF
3 : 1
Thisted FC
04 Sept
Boldklubben 1893
1 : 1
Naestved IF
30 Aug
Skive
1 : 2
Naestved IF
23 Aug
Naestved IF
0 : 2
VSK Aarhus
Page 1 of 6

Middelfart

(Away)
19 Sept
Middelfart
1 : 1
VSK Aarhus
13 Sept
Skive
0 : 0
Middelfart
09 Sept
Nykobing
6 : 5
Middelfart
05 Sept
Middelfart
1 : 1
Fremad Amager
29 Aug
Hellerup
1 : 2
Middelfart
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nykobing 8 6 2 0 23:9 20
2 VSK Aarhus 7 4 2 1 12:4 14
3 Roskilde 8 3 5 0 15:9 14
4 Naestved IF 8 3 4 1 11:9 13
5 Middelfart 7 3 3 1 14:7 12
6 Skive 8 3 2 3 11:11 11
7 Fremad Amager 8 2 5 1 11:11 11
8 Boldklubben 1893 8 2 3 3 12:13 9
9 Hellerup 8 2 1 5 7:15 7
10 Brabrand 7 1 2 4 8:14 5
11 Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
12 Thisted FC 7 0 1 6 5:17 1
Promotion - 2nd Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 2nd Division (Relegation Group)