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Naestved IF vs Thisted FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Christensen F.
27' Event
Gertsen J.
29' Event
Appiah S.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

The 2nd Division game between Naestved IF and Thisted FC finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Naestved IF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Naestved IF
35%
Draws
19%
Thisted FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Naestved IF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Thisted FC come out ahead of Naestved IF on wins alone.
  • Model gives Naestved IF a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 2nd Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Naestved IF Clean Sheet 20%
Thisted FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naestved IF Thisted FC
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 9 2
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.31 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 2nd Division
Naestved IF vs Thisted FC
3:1
May 23, 2026 2nd Division
Naestved IF vs Thisted FC
0:2
Apr 11, 2026 2nd Division
Thisted FC vs Naestved IF
2:0
Nov 9, 2025 2nd Division
Thisted FC vs Naestved IF
1:2
Sep 14, 2025 2nd Division
Naestved IF vs Thisted FC
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naestved IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Christensen F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gertsen J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Thisted FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Fjeldgaard V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naestved IF 85 / 100
Thisted FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naestved IF Thisted FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naestved IF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naestved IF scored in 81% of their last 26 games.

Recent resilience: Naestved IF stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Thisted FC conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Naestved IF VS Thisted FC
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Naestved IF

(Home)
02 Oct
Naestved IF
1 : 1
Nykobing
27 Sept
Naestved IF
2 : 2
Middelfart
18 Sept
Fremad Amager
1 : 1
Naestved IF
13 Sept
Naestved IF
3 : 1
Thisted FC
04 Sept
Boldklubben 1893
1 : 1
Naestved IF
Page 1 of 6

Thisted FC

(Away)
04 Oct
Thisted FC
0 : 2
Roskilde
26 Sept
Boldklubben 1893
1 : 0
Thisted FC
20 Sept
Thisted FC
3 : 1
Brabrand
13 Sept
Naestved IF
3 : 1
Thisted FC
06 Sept
Thisted FC
0 : 3
Nykobing
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nykobing 10 6 4 0 25:11 22
2 Roskilde 10 4 6 0 18:10 18
3 VSK Aarhus 10 5 3 2 14:7 18
4 Middelfart 10 4 5 1 18:10 17
5 Boldklubben 1893 10 4 3 3 16:13 15
6 Naestved IF 10 3 6 1 14:12 15
7 Skive 10 4 2 4 13:12 14
8 Fremad Amager 10 3 5 2 13:15 14
9 Brabrand 10 2 3 5 12:18 9
10 Hellerup 10 2 2 6 8:18 8
11 Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 10 1 2 7 10:22 5
12 Thisted FC 10 1 1 8 8:21 4
Promotion - 2nd Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 2nd Division (Relegation Group)