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Naestved IF vs VSK Aarhus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Nemec P.
80' Event
Nemec P.

AI Match Summary

The 2nd Division game between Naestved IF and VSK Aarhus finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward VSK Aarhus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Naestved IF
35%
Draws
27%
VSK Aarhus
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Naestved IF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and VSK Aarhus come out ahead of Naestved IF on wins alone.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Naestved IF taking it.
  • Regular 2nd Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Naestved IF Clean Sheet 17%
VSK Aarhus Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naestved IF VSK Aarhus
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 9 11
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.33 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 2nd Division
Naestved IF vs VSK Aarhus
0:2
Nov 16, 2025 2nd Division
Naestved IF vs VSK Aarhus
2:2
Aug 30, 2025 2nd Division
VSK Aarhus vs Naestved IF
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naestved IF Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

VSK Aarhus Compare

Top Goalscorer Nemec P.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naestved IF 66 / 100
VSK Aarhus 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naestved IF VSK Aarhus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naestved IF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Naestved IF scored in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Naestved IF has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: VSK Aarhus conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Naestved IF VS VSK Aarhus
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Naestved IF

(Home)
02 Oct
Naestved IF
1 : 1
Nykobing
27 Sept
Naestved IF
2 : 2
Middelfart
18 Sept
Fremad Amager
1 : 1
Naestved IF
13 Sept
Naestved IF
3 : 1
Thisted FC
04 Sept
Boldklubben 1893
1 : 1
Naestved IF
Page 1 of 6

VSK Aarhus

(Away)
02 Oct
VSK Aarhus
0 : 2
Brabrand
26 Sept
VSK Aarhus
1 : 0
Skive
19 Sept
Middelfart
1 : 1
VSK Aarhus
13 Sept
VSK Aarhus
2 : 2
Boldklubben 1893
09 Sept
VSK Aarhus
0 : 2
Lyngby
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nykobing 10 6 4 0 25:11 22
2 Roskilde 10 4 6 0 18:10 18
3 VSK Aarhus 10 5 3 2 14:7 18
4 Middelfart 10 4 5 1 18:10 17
5 Boldklubben 1893 10 4 3 3 16:13 15
6 Naestved IF 10 3 6 1 14:12 15
7 Skive 10 4 2 4 13:12 14
8 Fremad Amager 10 3 5 2 13:15 14
9 Brabrand 10 2 3 5 12:18 9
10 Hellerup 10 2 2 6 8:18 8
11 Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 10 1 2 7 10:22 5
12 Thisted FC 10 1 1 8 8:21 4
Promotion - 2nd Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 2nd Division (Relegation Group)