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Naft Bandar Abbas vs Mes Rafsanjan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
Tue, Oct 27, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Naft Bandar Abbas host Mes Rafsanjan in the Azadegan League. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Mes Rafsanjan have shipped 1.04 goals a game lately, while Naft Bandar Abbas have conceded 0.63 and scored 0.77. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (0.63 - 0.38) back Naft Bandar Abbas to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Naft Bandar Abbas
35%
Draws
42%
Mes Rafsanjan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mes Rafsanjan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Naft Bandar Abbas come out ahead of Mes Rafsanjan on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Azadegan League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Naft Bandar Abbas Clean Sheet 20%
Mes Rafsanjan Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naft Bandar Abbas Mes Rafsanjan
Matches Played 30 25
Wins 8 7
Draws 15 6
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 0.77 0.6
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naft Bandar Abbas 36 / 100
Mes Rafsanjan 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naft Bandar Abbas Mes Rafsanjan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mes Rafsanjan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Naft Bandar Abbas scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Naft Bandar Abbas has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Mes Rafsanjan has conceded goals in 56% of their last 25 outings.

Scoring Trends

Naft Bandar Abbas VS Mes Rafsanjan
0.88 Goals Scored 0.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
38% Over 1.5 13%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Naft Bandar Abbas

(Home)
12 Oct
Naft Bandar Abbas
1 : 1
Havadar SC
05 Oct
Besat Kermanshah
2 : 1
Naft Bandar Abbas
28 Sept
Naft Bandar Abbas
0 : 0
Naft Gachsaran
22 Sept
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
0 : 1
Naft Bandar Abbas
15 Sept
Naft Bandar Abbas
1 : 1
Shahin Bandar Ameri
Page 1 of 6

Mes Rafsanjan

(Away)
12 Oct
Mes Kerman
0 : 1
Mes Rafsanjan
05 Oct
Mes Rafsanjan
1 : 0
Ario Eslamshahr
29 Sept
Mes Rafsanjan
1 : 0
Besat Kermanshah
22 Sept
Kara Gostar Shabestar
0 : 0
Mes Rafsanjan
16 Sept
Mes Rafsanjan
0 : 0
Havadar SC
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pars Janoobi Jam 5 3 2 0 5:2 11
2 Mes Rafsanjan 5 3 2 0 3:0 11
3 Saipa 6 3 1 2 6:5 10
4 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 5 2 3 0 4:2 9
5 Ario Eslamshahr 5 3 0 2 5:5 9
6 Naft Masjed-Soleyman 6 2 2 2 8:6 8
7 Kara Gostar Shabestar 6 2 2 2 5:6 8
8 Fard 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
9 Besat Kermanshah 5 2 1 2 6:4 7
10 Foolad Novin Ahvaz 6 1 4 1 7:7 7
11 Naft Bandar Abbas 5 1 3 1 4:4 6
12 Naft Gachsaran 6 1 3 2 5:5 6
13 Shahin Bandar Ameri 6 1 3 2 7:9 6
14 Niroye Zamini 5 1 1 3 2:4 4
15 Mes Kerman 5 0 3 2 2:4 3
16 Havadar SC 6 0 2 4 1:8 2
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